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研报掘金丨中金:维持牧原股份“跑赢行业”评级,目标价56元

Research Reports on mining opportunities | CICC: Maintains Muyuan Foods "Outperform Industry" rating, Target Price 56 yuan.

Gelonghui Finance ·  Mar 12 06:38  · Ratings

Gelonghui, March 12 | A research report from China International Capital Corporation indicates that Muyuan Foods (002714.SZ) is at the starting point of a new round of high-quality development. Historically, Muyuan has experienced leapfrog development across cycles, effectively capturing the three major benefits of "epidemic prevention, hog prices, and capital" during the African swine fever period, growing into a "large-scale, low-cost" rare leader in Hog Farming. It is determined that in 2024, capital expenditure will be less than depreciation for the first time, marking the beginning of a return period for heavy asset investments; on the business side, it has entered the "internal search" phase 2.0, where both growth and value attributes are on the rise. It is believed that Muyuan will continue to lead the new paradigm in China's Hog Farming. In terms of relative valuation, the company's leading costs generate excess average earnings, coupled with a stronger forward delivery predictability, resulting in a lower implied P/E compared to peers. In terms of absolute valuation, the current market has not fully anticipated the growth contribution from the discounted value once Muyuan's free cash flow turns positive. Maintain the "outperform the industry" rating and a Target Price of 56 yuan.

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