Flowserve Corporation (NYSE:FLS) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 5.6% over the last twelve months.
Even after such a large drop in price, Flowserve may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.7x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 17x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Flowserve has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Is There Enough Growth For Flowserve?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Flowserve's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 51% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 122% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 40% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 14%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Flowserve's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Flowserve's P/E?
Flowserve's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Flowserve maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Flowserve with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Flowserve's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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