若以单位面积划分，减价盘比率最多的是实用面积约430平方呎或以下的A类单位；其次是实用面积介于约431至约752平方呎的B类单位；紧随其后的是实用面积约753至约1075平方呎的C类单位。The latest "Morgan Stanley Confidence Index" reports 60.2 points, down 5.2% week-on-week, marking four consecutive weeks of decline. The financial budget announced a significant reduction of the property stamp duty for properties valued at 4 million HKD or below to 100 HKD, which is bullish for the atmosphere of the Hong Kong real estate market; however, several new developments have taken advantage of the situation to launch sales, and some eager sellers have lowered their prices, resulting in an increase in discounted listings and a decline in the confidence index.
According to the Zhiyun Finance App, the "Merrill Confidence Index" recently reported 60.2 points, down 5.2% week-on-week, continuing a four-week decline. The financial budget announced a significant reduction of stamp duty for properties valued at 4 million Hong Kong dollars or less to 100 Hong Kong dollars, which is bullish for the Hong Kong property market atmosphere; however, many new projects are seizing the opportunity to sell, and some eager sellers are reducing prices, leading to an increase in discounted listings and a decline in the confidence index.
Louis Ka-fai, Chief Analyst at Midland Realty, pointed out that according to the discount listing ratio reflected on the Midland Realty website, among the three districts in Hong Kong, the New Territories has the highest discount ratio; when broken down further, the three areas with the most discounted listings are Tin Shui Wai, Tsuen Wan, and Olympic Station.
When divided by unit area, the category with the highest discount listing ratio is Class A units with a usable area of approximately 430 square feet or less; followed by Class B units with a usable area between approximately 431 and 752 square feet; closely followed by Class C units with a usable area of approximately 753 to 1075 square feet.
In terms of housing prices, the latest "Midland Property Price Index" reports 126.76 points, with a slight week-on-week decline of 0.13%, continuing to set a new low over the past eight and a half years; compared to four weeks ago, the price index has dropped by 0.99%, and it has decreased by about 1.07% so far this year; the impact of the budget on housing prices is yet to be reflected.
When divided into the three districts, housing prices have shown mixed developments week-on-week. The latest "Midland Island Price Index" reports 135.04 points, up 0.73% week-on-week; the "Midland Kowloon Price Index" reports 130.54 points, up 0.48% week-on-week; in contrast, the "Midland New Territories Price Index" reports 116.07 points, down 0.93% week-on-week.
Compared to four weeks ago, housing prices in the three districts have all declined, with the Island District, Kowloon District, and New Territories dropping by 1.19%, 1.01%, and 0.9% respectively; regarding the changes in housing prices this year up to now, all three districts have also declined, with the Island District, Kowloon District, and New Territories dropping by 0.65%, 0.37%, and 1.79% respectively.
Today, after hitting the high near 24,000 in the early session and entering bearish positions, the index fell sharply by nearly over 600 points, immediately recouping yesterday's losses significantly.
Moreover, today it broke the new high again, reaching a maximum of 24,076, but by the end of the market, it fell back by about 70 points, producing a bearish candle. The current trend has not yet been broken, but from the previous low until now, it has risen close to 6,000 points. It is believed that those with positions can continue to hold until there is a clear trend reversal for profit-taking. Those without positions can wait for a pullback to get in. Actually, it is hoped for a quick pullback, as it allows for entry and also provides a healthy breath.
Currently, the outlook remains the same as before. It is believed that even if there is a pullback, it shouldn't be too deep. However, if Futures fail to stabilize and close below 22,350, there may still be room for decline. The chance of Futures falling below 21,400 in the short term should be low, so it is considered that if a significant pullback occurs, it presents a good opportunity to incrementally go long. Recently, there has been a consistent approach to not hold positions overnight, only focusing on immediate trades, as there is no high chasing and no casual short selling.
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