American International Group, Inc. (NYSE:AIG) shares are trading lower today. On Tuesday, the company reported that the fourth quarter adjusted EPS of $1.30 exceeded the consensus of $1.23.
Piper Sandler analyst Paul Newsome writes that results came in above consensus but slightly below his estimates due to weaker underwriting results and higher expenses.
However, catastrophe losses were in line with his expectations and better than consensus, adds the analyst.
Notably, he notes that AIG reported a 92.5% combined ratio, better than consensus (93.3%) but slightly above his estimate of 91.5%.
Despite some segment noise, the company avoided broader casualty issues, adds the analyst.
Overall, Newsome says investors will view the results as better than expected.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Meyer Shields notes that AIG's fourth-quarter operating EPS beat their $1.09 estimate, led by stronger core and catastrophe loss ratios, reserve releases and investment income, partially offset by higher expenses and taxes.
The analyst expects shares to gain on the EPS beat and reaffirmed the 10%+ ROE target for 2025, though gains may be tempered by a higher-than-expected expense ratio.
Investors can gain exposure to the stock via Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF (NASDAQ:KBWP) and iShares U.S. Insurance ETF (NYSE:IAK).
Price Action: AIG shares are down 1.49% at $74.81 at the last check Wednesday.
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Today, after hitting the high near 24,000 in the early session and entering bearish positions, the index fell sharply by nearly over 600 points, immediately recouping yesterday's losses significantly.
Moreover, today it broke the new high again, reaching a maximum of 24,076, but by the end of the market, it fell back by about 70 points, producing a bearish candle. The current trend has not yet been broken, but from the previous low until now, it has risen close to 6,000 points. It is believed that those with positions can continue to hold until there is a clear trend reversal for profit-taking. Those without positions can wait for a pullback to get in. Actually, it is hoped for a quick pullback, as it allows for entry and also provides a healthy breath.
Currently, the outlook remains the same as before. It is believed that even if there is a pullback, it shouldn't be too deep. However, if Futures fail to stabilize and close below 22,350, there may still be room for decline. The chance of Futures falling below 21,400 in the short term should be low, so it is considered that if a significant pullback occurs, it presents a good opportunity to incrementally go long. Recently, there has been a consistent approach to not hold positions overnight, only focusing on immediate trades, as there is no high chasing and no casual short selling.
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