On the evening of the 6th, Beijing time, U.S. stocks opened higher on Monday. Media reports stated that Trump will narrow the scope of the import tax applicability, but Trump called the report false. Following the release of earnings reports from Foxconn, the chip sector rose broadly, driving technology stocks higher. The U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield reached its highest level since 2023. The U.S. stock market will be closed on Thursday in honor of former President Jimmy Carter.
As of the time of publication, the three major U.S. stock indices surged, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ rising over 1%, and the Dow Jones increasing by 0.59%.
Chip stocks such as NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Micron Technology generally increased, following Foxconn's announcement of record revenue in the fourth quarter.
A report from a mainstream U.S. media on Monday boosted market sentiment. It reported that Trump will narrow the scope of the import tax applicability, applicable to all countries but will only cover certain key imported products.
During his campaign, Trump called for a "universal" import tax of up to 10%-20%.
Economists expect that this move will raise consumer prices and distort global trade patterns. It is currently unclear which industries or products will be targeted, but focus is expected on those industries or products that Trump wishes to bring back to the USA.
Due to the U.S. stock market being closed on Thursday to mourn the recently deceased former President Jimmy Carter, trading time in the U.S. stock market this week will be reduced by one day compared to usual.
Since the beginning of the new year, the U.S. stock market has shown an inconsistent tone, and concerns over the Federal Reserve's interest rate predictions have lingered, leading to light trading in the market.
Pepperstone高级研究策略师Michael Brown表示:“我们迎来了新的一年、新的交易周。在上周五的强劲反弹后,股市表现较好,标普500和纳斯达克100指数几乎抹去前一天的所有跌幅。然而,尽管如此,市场交易依然清淡,标普500指数成份股的交易量比20日平均水平低了约20%。”
交易员将关注有关经济实力和美联储利率计划稳健性的线索。Ritholtz财富管理公司首席市场策略师Callie Cox表示,未来一周可能是交易员重新调整预期的另一个机会。
Callie Cox表示:“数据显示,美国的失业率正在攀升,人们找到工作的难度增大。就业市场随时可能再次出现意外。美国国债收益率也很值得警惕。目前10年期国债收益率接近4.6%的历史高位,而且在过去,债券投资者通常在Non-farm Employment Data公布的当天坐立不安。”
12月非农就业报告将于本周五公布,它将是本月底美联储会议前的最后一项关键经济数据。分析师预计Non-farm employment将增加0.15 million人,失业率维持在4.2%。
This week, investors will also focus on Tuesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs) and Wednesday's December ADP Private Employment Report.
The positive performance of the aforementioned data will strengthen expectations for the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rate cuts in the future. Currently, the market's expectation for a rate cut in 2025 has been adjusted down to just 40 basis points.
Investors will also gain some clues about the thoughts of Federal Reserve officials this week, as the minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting will be released on Wednesday, and several key officials, including Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, will give speeches.
Regarding central bank dynamics, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook will speak at a law and microeconomics conference at the University of Michigan. Federal Reserve Governor Tom Barkin stated last Friday that he tends to maintain interest rates at a high level for a longer period.
These remarks and data indicate that the U.S. economy remains strong, highlighting the challenges investors face in interpreting the future interest rate path of the Federal Reserve, especially after Chairman Powell's hawkish shift in December.
Constellation Brands, Walgreens Boots Alliance, and Delta Air Lines will also announce their Earnings Reports this weekend.
Focus on individual stocks
The Semiconductor Sector saw widespread gains.$Micron Technology (MU.US)$Increased by over 10%, $ASML Holding (ASML.US)$Increased by more than 6%, $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$Increased by over 4%
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$Returned to $0.1 million, Cryptocurrency concept stocks rose together, $KULR Technology (KULR.US)$ Increased by over 10%
Robot Concept stocks are generally rising, $Guardforce AI (GFAI.US)$Increased by over 67%, $Lifeward (LFWD.US)$Increased by over 39%
$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$Up over 11%, AI Concept stocks rise together.
AI application stocks.$SoundHound AI (SOUN.US)$Up over 8%.
$FuboTV (FUBO.US)$Up over 120%, the company will reach an agreement to$Disney (DIS.US)$merge their online live television businesses.
Automotive AI technology company.$Cerence (CRNC.US)$Continuing to rise over 15%, surged over 140% in the last trading day, the company announced an expansion of cooperation with NVIDIA.
Editor/ping