Forex.com market Analyst Fawad Razaqzada presented the outlook for Gold in 2025, stating that the consolidation at the beginning of next year will help eliminate overbought conditions, and patient investors will ultimately see the Target Price of $3000 realized. However, he indicated that some profit-taking is expected at the critical psychological level of $3000. #2025 Market Outlook#
Fawad wrote: "Even though the short-term direction appears somewhat unclear, we have almost no doubt about the long-term prospects for Gold. In fact, after a substantial increase in 2024, a short-term adjustment will make Gold more attractive again. The adjustment or ongoing consolidation will also help some long-term momentum Indicators get rid of the overbought situation, such as the monthly."Relative Strength Index(RSI)。”
He continued: "Once some of the bubbles are eliminated, we will closely monitor prices as they approach some potential key levels we are tracking."ResistanceStrong Call signals appear.
(Source: Forex.com)
Key levels and Trades to monitor for Gold
$2075-2080: This Range marks a key support area across multiple long-term timeframes, which became the main Resistance from 2020 to 2023. If prices drop significantly, it could become a strong bottom. A drop to this area may attract buyers who missed the Gold surge in 2024, thereby strengthening its long-term bullish outlook.
Of course, before starting the next leg up, gold prices may not drop to the aforementioned $2075-2080 Range. If we see gold prices merely experiencing a moderate pullback, Fawad states, "this is exactly what we expect," followed by some consolidation in price action to form a long continuation pattern, then in this case, a breakout strategy will be sought, reestablishing a tactical Call on Gold.
$2500: This is an additional support area we are monitoring, with the 200-day moving average located about $25 below it. $2700 is the near-term Resistance worth focusing on for 2025, with the potential bullish flag shape's Resistance trend meeting previously established Resistance here. A breakthrough of this Resistance would likely surpass the 2024 high of $2790.
If prices break new highs in 2025, $3000 will be the next important psychological level to watch. A profit-taking response is expected at this level.
The outlook for Gold in 2025 is influenced by the complex interplay of macroeconomic, geopolitical, and technical factors. Despite potential challenges at the beginning of this year, the long-term fundamentals for Gold remain strong.
Inflationary pressures, central bank purchases, and geopolitical uncertainty continue to support Gold's role as a strategic asset in a diversified portfolio.
For professional investors and retail traders, navigating the Gold market in 2025 requires a balanced approach. Monitoring key economic Indicators, MMF trends, and geopolitical developments is crucial for discovering opportunities and managing risks.
Fawad anticipates a cautious start for the Gold market, and patient investors may see Gold regain its luster, ultimately moving toward the coveted $3,000 mark.