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乖宝宠物(301498)公司深度报告:宠物行业长坡厚雪 国牌龙头砥砺前行

Gaibao Pet (301498) Company In-depth Report: Changpo and Houxue National Brand Leaders in the Pet Industry Move Forward

Bohai Securities ·  Dec 26

Gaibao Pet: A leading domestic pet food company, growing its own brand. The company was founded in 2006, started an OEM business, launched its own brand McFudi in 2013, launched the high-end cat food brand Frégart in 2019-2024, acquired Waggin'Train, and launched the high-end dog food brand Wang Zhenjiol. Along with the continuous enrichment and high-end process of its own brands, the company has now developed into a leading domestic pet food company. In 2018-2023, the CAGR of the company's revenue and net profit to mother was 28.79% and 56.98%, respectively. At this stage, the company's own brand is in an expansion period, and sales expenses are driving up the cost rate level during the period, but compared to peers, it has strong profitability.

Heavy snow in Changpo, the pet industry is in a good development trend

According to the “2025 White Paper on China's Pet Industry”, in 2024 (note: the statistical period here is October 2023 to September 2024, the same for other years), the domestic pet industry will exceed 300 billion yuan. It is expected to reach 404.2 billion yuan in 2027, and the future pet cat market has great potential. Currently, the domestic pet penetration rate is low, and a good economic foundation will help the pet industry develop further. Pet food is for immediate consumption. The scale of the pet food industry in 2024 is 158.506 billion yuan. Consumer preferences for domestic brands have increased significantly. Domestic enterprises have continued to grow, and domestic pet food brands have gradually risen.

The R&D foundation enables the company to strengthen its product strength, build its own brand in multiple dimensions, and effectively transform the R&D capabilities of high-end companies into product power, and create outstanding ability to create large single products. This year's “Double Eleven”, the entire network sales of Frégate 2.0 series products and baked goods exceeded 40 million yuan and 68 million yuan, respectively. The resonance between R&D capability and product power will help the company achieve a sharp rise in volume and price. The company's own brands hold high standards. With the support of diversified marketing models, the company has accumulated a good reputation and continues to promote high-end development. In 2023, revenue of 2.745 billion yuan was achieved, leading the industry in terms of revenue from its own brands. The scale of the company's direct sales channel exceeded 1 billion yuan, and the e-commerce platform's key sales nodes performed well. In 2024, the “618” network sales increased 40% year on year, and the “Double Eleven” network sales increased 65% year on year. Shandong is a major agricultural province. The company has the advantage of location supply chain, and IPO fundraising and production expansion solidifies the foundation for development.

Valuation and Ratings

The company is a leading domestic pet food company with outstanding product and brand strength, diversified marketing and high-end development to help future growth. Under a neutral scenario, EPS is expected to be 1.43/1.80/2.28 yuan respectively in 2024-2026, corresponding to the 2025 PE valuation of 40.78 times, and for the first time coverage, a “gain” rating.

Risk Alerts

Increased competition in the domestic market, fluctuating raw material prices, trade friction risks, and exchange rate fluctuations.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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