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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:RNAC)

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 18 21:04

It's not a stretch to say that Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RNAC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 9.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NasdaqGM:RNAC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2024

How Has Cartesian Therapeutics Performed Recently?

Cartesian Therapeutics hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cartesian Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Cartesian Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 62%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 44% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 50% per annum over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 116% each year.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Cartesian Therapeutics' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Cartesian Therapeutics' P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It appears that Cartesian Therapeutics currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Cartesian Therapeutics (including 1 which can't be ignored).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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