FUTU Morning Post

U.S. Stock Outlook | Three major futures indexes rose collectively, with Tesla pre-market up nearly 1%, poised to set a historical high at the open; Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve will "skip" a rate cut in January, and may signal a slowdown in easing

Futu News · Dec 16 21:04

热点要闻

周一美股盘前，三大期指齐涨

比特币再创历史新高，加密货币概念盘前上涨，MicroStrategy涨超3%

受美国当选总统特朗普暗示他计划建立类似于战略石油储备的美国比特币战略储备的言论提振，比特币一度飙升至10.6万美元以上的创纪录高位，美股市场加密货币概念股盘前集体上涨。其中， $Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR.US)$ 涨超4%，$MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$ 涨超3%， $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ 、 $Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)$ 等涨超2%。

超微电脑盘前大跌近14%，被移出纳斯达克100指数成分股

$超微电脑 (SMCI.US)$ 盘前跌近14%，消息面上，纳斯达克100指数成分股调整公布，新增热门股Palantir和Microstrategy，超微电脑被移出。另外，Palantir盘前跌超1%，Microstrategy涨3%。

特斯拉盘前涨近1%，股价一度突破440美元

$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$ 盘前再涨近1%，开盘势创历史新高，在大选以来累计升近80%。据媒体援引一份文件信息显示，特朗普过渡团队希望下届政府取消自动驾驶汽车碰撞数据申报规定。如果特朗普政府真的取消这一规定，将对特斯拉尤其有利，但也可能会削弱美国政府调查和监管配备自动驾驶系统的车辆安全的能力。

WISeKey盘前再涨近6%，将与SpaceX合作发射一颗卫星

继上周五收涨139%后，瑞士上市科技公司 $WISeKey (WKEY.US)$ 今日盘前再度涨近6%。WISeKey上周五表示其子公司将与马斯克旗下的SpaceX合作发射一颗卫星。

Meta也阻止OpenAI商业转型：致信加州司法部为马斯克站台

OpenAI将从非营利组织转型为营利性实体的计划，在硅谷引发了不少波澜，尤其受到其早期投资者马斯克的抵制。而在马斯克之外，另一硅谷大厂 $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ 最近也加入了该行列。上周，Meta致信加州总检察长Rob Bonta，要求阻止OpenAI从非营利组织向商业公司的转变计划，称OpenAI无权拿走并挪用其作为慈善机构时获得的资产，并将其用于获取未来的巨额利润，这是对法律的蔑视。

美银：上调博通目标价至250美元，重申“买入”评级

美银证券发表研报，重申对 $博通 (AVGO.US)$ 的“买入”评级，指出博通2024财年业绩符合预期，期内客制化晶片(ASIC)人工智慧主要客户从3家扩展至5家，认为AI所带来的商机有助该公司保持领导地位及巩固客源，相应将2025及2025财年备考每股盈利预测分别上调5%及3%，至6.27及7.5美元，目标价亦从215美元上调至250美元。截至发稿，博通盘前涨3%。

英伟达Thor芯片延迟量产，小鹏考虑搁置搭载

据财联社， $英伟达 (NVDA.US)$ Thor原本计划2024年中量产，现已大幅推迟，“预计明年中上车，且还是入门版”。这影响着一些国内车企的新车产品决策。据多方了解，国内车企 $小鹏汽车 (XPEV.US)$ 的明年新车正在考虑搁置采用Thor芯片。有知情人士表示，小鹏正在加速搭载其自研的智能驾驶芯片“图灵”。目前该芯片已经流片，小鹏正在测试验证芯片的稳定性和性能，“全栈NGP已经在芯片XP5（小鹏芯片内部代号）上跑起来了。”针对上述信息，记者向小鹏汽车、蔚来汽车官方求证，双方表示不予置评。

全球宏观

高盛：美联储1月将“跳过”降息，本周或释放放慢宽松信号

高盛认为，美联储可能会在本周的会议上暗示未来将放慢降息的步伐，并在明年1月“跳过”降息。高盛表示，最近的官员讲话显示，美联储“明显”希望减缓降息速度。原因在于失业率有望低于美联储对2024年的预测，同时通胀率仍高于目标水平。

华尔街普遍瞄准这一板块！将其列为“2025年首选”

华尔街策略师们对2025年的展望存在一个压倒性共识，即看好金融股。华尔街人士认为，美国强劲的经济、当选总统特朗普放松监管的预期、公司有吸引力的估值、以及较低的利率，这些都将为银行和交易创造更有利的环境。

美国人如何看“特朗普2.0”？民调：看好经济前景，支持大多议程！

最新民调显示，大多数美国人表示，他们准备支持当选总统特朗普的第二任期，尽管他在竞选期间提出了些有争议的议程。具体而言，CNBC全美经济调查发现，54%的美国民众“愿意并准备支持”特朗普担任总统。民调显示，40%的美国人表示，现在是投资股票的好时机，27%的人表示现在不是时候，这是自2019年以来乐观情绪最高涨的一次。

最大胆加密预测！比特币明年将涨上80万美元？

在传出美国候任总统特朗普可能在上任后，宣布建立加密货币储备的消息后，比特币涨上106000美元的新高峰，这也让更多加密人士心头火热。木头姐Cathie Wood管理的ARK基金公司预计，比特币年底价格将在124000到150000美元之间。加密货币游说者，数字商会首席执行官Perianne Boring大胆喊出比特币明年将突破80万美元的口号。

美股盘前成交额TOP20

美股宏观事历提醒

（以下均为北京时间）

21:30 美国12月纽约联储制造业指数

22:45 美国12月标普全球制造业PMI初值

22:45 美国12月标普全球服务业PMI初值

编辑/Somer

Hot News

In Pre-Market Trading on Monday, the three major futures indices rose.

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high, and the Cryptos Concept rose in Pre-Market Trading, with MicroStrategy up over 3%.

Stimulated by USA President-elect Trump's remarks indicating he plans to establish a USA Bitcoin Strategic Reserve similar to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Bitcoin once soared to a record high of over $0.106 million. In the USA stock market, cryptocurrency concept stocks collectively rose in Pre-Market Trading. Among them, $Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR.US)$ rose over 4%.$MicroStrategy (MSTR.US)$ Increased by over 3%. $MARA Holdings (MARA.US)$ 、 $Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)$ The increase is more than 2%.

Super Micro Computer fell nearly 14% in Pre-Market Trading, removed from the NASDAQ 100 Index constituents.

$Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US)$ In Pre-Market Trading, it fell nearly 14%. In terms of news, the adjustments to the NASDAQ 100 Index constituents were announced, adding popular stocks Palantir and MicroStrategy, while Super Micro Computer was removed. Additionally, Palantir dropped over 1% in Pre-Market Trading, and MicroStrategy rose 3%.

Tesla rose nearly 1% in Pre-Market Trading, with the stock price briefly surpassing $440.

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ In Pre-Market Trading, a further increase of nearly 1% is expected, potentially reaching a historic high at the opening, having accumulated nearly 80% since the election. According to media reports citing a document, Trump's transition team hopes the next government will eliminate regulations requiring the reporting of collision data for autonomous vehicles. If the Trump administration indeed cancels this regulation, it would particularly benefit Tesla, but it could also weaken the USA government's ability to investigate and regulate the safety of vehicles equipped with autonomous driving systems.

WISeKey has increased nearly 6% in Pre-Market Trading and will launch a Satellite in cooperation with SpaceX.

After rising 139% last Friday, the Swiss Franc listed Technology company. $WISeKey (WKEY.US)$ Today in Pre-Market Trading, it has risen nearly 6% again. WISeKey stated last Friday that its subsidiary will collaborate with Musk's SpaceX to launch a Satellite.

Meta also prevents OpenAI's commercial transformation: it sent a letter to the California Department of Justice supporting Musk.

OpenAI's plan to transition from a non-profit organization to a for-profit entity has caused quite a stir in Silicon Valley, especially facing resistance from its early investor, Musk. Meanwhile, outside of Musk, another Silicon Valley giant. $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ Recently, this organization has also joined the ranks. Last week, Meta sent a letter to California Attorney General Rob Bonta, requesting to block OpenAI's plan to transition from a non-profit organization to a commercial entity, stating that OpenAI has no right to take and misappropriate the assets it acquired as a charitable organization for future massive profits, which is a contempt of the law.

Bank of America: Raises Broadcom's Target Price to $250, reiterating a 'Buy' rating.

Bank of America Securities published a Research Report, reiterating a 'Buy' rating for $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ Broadcom, noting that the company's performance for fiscal year 2024 meets expectations, with the number of major customers for customized chips (ASIC) in artificial intelligence expanding from three to five. It believes that the business opportunities brought by AI will help the company maintain its leadership position and consolidate its customer base, thus raising the expected earnings per share forecasts for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 by 5% and 3% respectively, to $6.27 and $7.50, while the Target Price is also raised from $215 to $250. As of press time, Broadcom's pre-market trading is up 3%.

NVIDIA's Thor chip has been delayed in mass production, and Xiaopeng is considering postponing its adoption.

According to Caixin, $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Thor originally planned to start mass production in mid-2024, but it has now been significantly delayed, "expected to be available in the middle to late next year, and it will still be the entry-level model." This affects the new car product decisions of some domestic automakers. According to multiple sources, domestic automakers are considering putting their new vehicles next year on hold in adopting the Thor chip. $XPeng (XPEV.US)$ Insiders indicate that Xiaopeng is accelerating the installation of its self-developed smart driving chip "Turing." The chip has been sent for production, and Xiaopeng is currently testing and verifying the chip's stability and performance, "The full-stack NGP is already running on chip XP5 (the internal code name for Xiaopeng's chip)." In response to this information, reporters sought confirmation from the official representatives of Xiaopeng Motors and NIO, both parties declined to comment.

Global macro

Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve will "skip" rate cuts in January and may signal a slowdown in easing this week.

Goldman Sachs believes that the Federal Reserve may suggest in this week's meeting that it will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the future and "skip" a rate cut in January next year. Goldman Sachs indicated that recent statements from officials show that the Federal Reserve "clearly" wants to reduce the speed of rate cuts. The reason is that the unemployment rate is expected to be lower than the Federal Reserve's forecast for 2024, while inflation rates remain above target levels.

Wall Street generally focuses on this Sector! It is listed as the "top choice for 2025."

Wall Street strategists share an overwhelming consensus in their outlook for 2025, which is bullish on financial stocks. Wall Street believes that the strong economy in the USA, the expectation of elected President Trump's deregulation, attractive valuations for companies, and lower interest rates will create a more favorable environment for banks and trading.

How do people in the USA view "Trump 2.0"? Polls show they are Bullish on economic prospects and support most of the agenda!

The latest polls show that most Americans are prepared to support elected President Trump for a second term, despite his controversial agenda during the campaign. Specifically, the CNBC All-America Economic Survey found that 54% of Americans are "willing and ready to support" Trump as president. The poll indicates that 40% of Americans believe now is a good time to invest in stocks, while 27% say it is not the right time, marking the highest level of optimism since 2019.

The boldest cryptocurrency prediction! Will Bitcoin rise to 0.8 million dollars next year?

After rumors surfaced that the incoming President Trump might announce the establishment of a cryptocurrency reserve upon taking office, Bitcoin surged to a new high of $106,000, igniting excitement among more crypto enthusiasts. ARK Invest, managed by Cathie Wood, predicts that Bitcoin's price will range between $124,000 and $150,000 by the end of the year. Crypto lobbyist and CEO of the Digital Chamber, Perianne Boring, boldly declares that Bitcoin will break $800,000 next year.

Bilibili rose more than 3% pre-market trading and was upgraded to "buy" by UBS, which raised its EPS estimate per share.

Reminder of Macroeconomic Events in the USA

(All in Peking Time)

21:30 USA December NY Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index

22:45 USA December S&P Global Manufacturing PMI preliminary value

22:45 USA December S&P Global Services PMI preliminary value

Editor/Somer

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