Jingwu Financial News | FIRST SHANGHAI's Research Reports indicate that CHINA POWER (02380) had a consolidated total electricity sales volume of 108,220,668 MWh in the first ten months of 2024, a 30.56% increase compared to the same period last year. Thanks to the new installed capacity coming online, the company's controlled wind power electricity sales volume increased by 57.05% year-on-year; photovoltaic sales increased by 79.55% year-on-year. Hydroelectric power benefited from the recovery of water flow in the first half of this year, with electricity sales increasing by 62.62% year-on-year. The company's overall electricity sales growth rate performed exceptionally well in the Industry, highlighting the steady advancement of the company's incremental projects, thus driving the rapid development of the electricity sales Business.

The agency stated that the company added 3.3 GW of clean energy installed capacity in the first half of this year, of which wind and photovoltaic power were 1.2 GW and 2.1 GW respectively, driving rapid growth in wind and solar performance. In the first half, the company's profit per kilowatt-hour from wind and solar fell by 2.5 and 3.3 cents year-on-year, mainly due to the increased proportion of parity projects. By June 2024, the company's clean energy consolidated installed capacity proportion reached 77.07%, with an estimated annual new installed capacity of about 7 GW. The company's goal is to achieve a 90% proportion of clean energy installed capacity by 2025. The accelerated development of new energy projects will bring the company sustained and stable profit growth.

The agency continued to point out that the company's profit growth in 2024 is highly certain, with returns from self-invested projects increasing under the current trend of low costs; hydroelectric profits benefit from water recovery. The agency expects the company's attributable Net income from 2024 to 2026 to be 5.1, 6, and 7.1 billion yuan, year-on-year growth of 92%, 17%, and 18%. Due to the improvement in new energy consumption and the increase in market trading ratio leading to a slight decrease in electricity prices, as well as the overall valuation decline of Hong Kong’s new energy operators, the agency has lowered the valuation of the New energy Sector to 7XPE, estimating the company's reasonable Market Cap in 2025 to be 58.5 billion Hong Kong dollars, corresponding to a Target Price of 4.73 Hong Kong dollars, with valuations of coal power/water power/new energy sectors at 1xPB/8xPE/7xPE, providing an upside potential of 52% compared to the current price, maintaining a Buy rating.