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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CPIX) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 105%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 11 18:57

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:CPIX) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 105% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 37% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 13x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqGS:CPIX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 11th 2024

How Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

For instance, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Cumberland Pharmaceuticals will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cumberland Pharmaceuticals?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.5%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 3.0% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Cumberland Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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