2025 Outlook
In conjunction with today's update, SiriusXM is providing 2025 guidance for total revenue of $8.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $2.6 billion, and free cash flow of $1.15 billion. This follows the Company's reaffirmation of its 2024 guidance for total revenue of approximately $8.675 billion, adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.7 billion, and free cash flow of approximately $1 billion. Aligned with its enhanced focus on free cash flow, the Company expects free cash flow conversion, free cash flow as a percentage of EBITDA, to increase from approximately 37% in 2024 to approximately 44% in 2025. Additionally, the Company is targeting free cash flow of $1.5 billion in 2027.
The Company excludes from adjusted EBITDA the impact of other income (expense), gain on extinguishment of debt, impairment, restructuring and other costs, other non-cash charges such as share-based payment expense, and legal settlements and reserves (if applicable). Similarly, free cash flow does not include certain items that do not relate to the on-going performance of the Company's business, such as cash flows related to acquisitions, strategic and short-term investments, including tax efficient investments in clean energy. Free cash flow may also be negatively impacted by legal settlements which are excluded from adjusted EBITDA.
Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow are non-GAAP financial measures. The Company has not provided a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA to projected net income (loss) or free cash flow to net cash provided by operating activities because full-year net income (loss) and net cash provided by operating activities will include special items that have not occurred and are difficult to predict with reasonable certainty. Due to this uncertainty, the Company cannot reconcile adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow to their comparable GAAP measures without unreasonable effort.