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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Emergent BioSolutions Inc.'s (NYSE:EBS) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 10 18:20

The Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (NYSE:EBS) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Regardless, last month's decline is barely a blip on the stock's price chart as it has gained a monstrous 313% in the last year.

After such a large drop in price, Emergent BioSolutions may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 10.9x and even P/S higher than 60x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

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NYSE:EBS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 10th 2024

What Does Emergent BioSolutions' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Emergent BioSolutions could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Emergent BioSolutions will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Emergent BioSolutions' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 32% drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.3% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 119% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Emergent BioSolutions' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Emergent BioSolutions' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Emergent BioSolutions maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Emergent BioSolutions, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Emergent BioSolutions, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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