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Verint Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNT) Stock Catapults 44% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 6, 2024 05:40

Verint Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNT) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 44% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 12% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Verint Systems may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 5.9x and even P/S higher than 14x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGS:VRNT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 6th 2024

How Has Verint Systems Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Verint Systems as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Verint Systems.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Verint Systems' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.4% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 6.4% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.0% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Verint Systems is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Verint Systems' P/S?

Even after such a strong price move, Verint Systems' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Verint Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Verint Systems that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Verint Systems, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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