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後場に注目すべき3つのポイント~米雇用統計控え利益確定が先行

Three key points to watch in the later session - profit taking ahead of the U.S. employment statistics.

Fisco Japan ·  Dec 6 11:39

In the afternoon trade on the 6th, attention should be focused on the following three points.

The Nikkei average fell for the first time in five days, with profit-taking ahead of the US employment statistics.

The dollar-yen is weak, further declining around noon.

The largest contributor to the decline is Advantest <6857>, and the second is Tokyo Electron <8035>.

The Nikkei average fell for the first time in five days, with profit-taking ahead of the US employment statistics.

The Nikkei average fell for the first time in five days. It finished the morning session at 39,042.59 yen, down 353.01 yen (-0.90%) compared to the previous day (estimated volume 0.7 billion 10 million shares).

The US stock market fell on the 5th. The dow inc average was down 248.33 dollars to 44,765.71 dollars, and the nasdaq ended down 34.40 points at 19,700.72. After initially trying to test the highs, it turned slightly positive. However, caution against high prices led to a lack of continued buying, and the market turned down amid rising long-term interest rates following the Federal Reserve Chair Powell's remarks signaling no rush for rate cuts. With the employment statistics report set for the next day, caution grew, and the market drifted down throughout the day under profit-taking selling pressure.

In response to the drop in US stocks, the Tokyo market started with a lack of direction. The Nikkei average hovered around the previous day's closing level but gradually widened its decline, falling to the 39,000 yen level. Since the Nikkei average had risen for four consecutive days, it appears that profit-taking became stronger ahead of the US employment report tonight. Additionally, the yen has slightly appreciated against the dollar, trading in the mid-149 yen range, impacting large cap stocks.

Among the stocks listed on the Nikkei average, Fujikura <5803>, which fell after reaching an all-time high the previous day, continued to see strong selling pressure. In addition, Sumitomo Electric <5802> and Furukawa Electric <5801>, as well as telecommunications stocks, fell overall. Furthermore, defense-related stocks like Japan Steel Works <5631> and Kawasaki Heavy Industries <7012> were also weak. Additionally, semiconductor-related companies such as Disco <6146>, Screen HD <7735>, Advantest <6857>, SUMCO <3436>, Lasertec <6920>, and tokyo electron ltd. unsponsored adr <8035> were sold off.

On the other hand, Omron <6645>, which had been under selling pressure since November, continued to rebound. J. Front Retailing <3086> rose on positive reports from brokerage firms. Moreover, shares of automobile manufacturers such as Mitsubishi Motors <7211>, Nissan <7201>, mazda motor crp <7261>, and Isuzu <7202> saw some buying. Other stocks that rose included Hitachi Construction Machinery <6305>, Nomura Research Institute <4307>, Olympus <7733>, and Keio Electric Railway <9008>.

By industry, nonferrous metals, other products, insurance, electric appliances, securities and commodity futures fell, while air transport, electricity and gas, fisheries and agriculture, precision instruments, and paper and pulp saw an increase.

With the US employment statistics report approaching, aggressive buying is unlikely in the Tokyo market for the latter half of the day. Although the morning session's low of the Nikkei average maintained the 39,000 yen level at 39,006.10 yen, there may be instances where this level is breached in the afternoon session. However, with trading value on the main board in the morning session remaining at 1.8 trillion yen, an atmosphere of waiting seems strong, so it is assumed that selling pressure will not suddenly increase. The Nikkei average in the latter half is expected to fluctuate around the 39,000 yen level.

The dollar-yen is weak, declining further by noon.

In the Tokyo market on the morning of the 6th, the dollar-yen became weak and fell from 150 yen 27 cents to around 149 yen 80 cents. The decline in the US 10-year bond yield paused, and there were moments of dollar selling retreat. However, against the backdrop of expectations for a Bank of Japan rate hike within the year, the Nikkei average expanded its decline, strengthening yen buying.

So far, the trading ranges are: dollar-yen from 149 yen 77 cents to 150 yen 27 cents, euro-yen from 158 yen 43 cents to 159 yen 03 cents, and euro-dollar from 1.0566 dollars to 1.0588 dollars.

Check stocks for the afternoon session

Green Bee <3913> and Silver Egg Technology <3961> have both hit the upper limit.

*Includes temporary stopper (indicated price)

The largest contributor to the decline is Advantest <6857>, and the second is Tokyo Electron <8035>.

Economic indicators and remarks by important people

[Economic indicators]

Japan's October monthly labor statistics: total cash earnings year-on-year +2.6% (forecast: +2.6%, September: +2.5%).

Japan's October household spending: year-on-year -1.3% (forecast: -2.5%, September: -1.1%).

[Important Person's Remarks]

Akazawa, Minister of Economic Revitalization, refrains from commenting on stock and foreign exchange markets

"The specific methods of monetary policy are left to the Bank of Japan."

・14:00 October Economic Activity Index, preliminary value (financial estimates: 108.8, September: 109.1)

・16:00 Germany's October Industrial Production (month-on-month financial estimates: +1.0%, September: -2.5%)

・16:00 Germany's October Trade Balance (financial estimates: +15.7 billion euros, September: +16.9 billion euros)

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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