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Improved Revenues Required Before CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CTMX) Stock's 28% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 5 18:04

CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CTMX) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, CytomX Therapeutics may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 10.7x and even P/S higher than 61x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:CTMX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 5th 2024

How CytomX Therapeutics Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, CytomX Therapeutics has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CytomX Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, CytomX Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 91% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 30% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 119% per annum.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that CytomX Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does CytomX Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price move, CytomX Therapeutics' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that CytomX Therapeutics' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for CytomX Therapeutics (2 are significant!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CytomX Therapeutics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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