Source: Zhitong Finance
"Since 1950, the S&P 500 index has risen more than 10% 21 times as of the end of May. In about 90% of these cases, the S&P 500 index rose for the rest of the year. There were only two instances of declines for the rest of the year, in 1987 (-13%) and 1986 (-0.1%)."
With the rebound of the stock market, the old adage "Sell in May and Go Away" seems to have been a bad advice once again. Last month, the S&P 500 index rose 4.8%, the best May performance since 2009. The NASDAQ 100 index rose nearly 6.2%, and the NASDAQ Composite Index rose 6.9%. Goldman Sachs FICC & Equities Trading Division said: "History doesn't really support this saying. Don't sell, leave the market (go on vacation), and enjoy the good times."
The rising trend is still to be continued?
If history is any guide, it may indicate that the rise of the stock market is not over yet.
Looking ahead to the rest of 2024, Scott Rubner, Managing Director of the Goldman Sachs Global Markets Division and tactical expert, pointed out the following historical background for investors.
Rubner stated that the S&P 500 index has risen 10.7% year-to-date, and since 1950, the S&P 500 index has risen more than 10% 21 times as of the end of May. In about 90% of these cases, the S&P 500 index rose for the rest of the year. There were only two instances of declines for the rest of the year, in 1987 (-13%) and 1986 (-0.1%).
"Since 1950, the median return of the last 7 months of each year (June 1 to December 31) is 5.4%. In the aforementioned 21 cases, the average performance of the last 7 months increased to 8.1%." Rubner added.
Rubner also pointed out that the NASDAQ index has risen for 16 consecutive Julys, with an average return of about 4.64%.
Author: Wang Qiujia
$CHINA GRAPHITE (02237.HK)$ Currently up over 34% at 0.49 Hong Kong dollars, intraday reaching a high of 0.52 Hong Kong dollars on October 7.
On the news front, the Ministry of Commerce announced on December 3 that it has decided to strengthen the export control of relevant dual-use items to the usa. Among them, stricter end-user and end-use reviews will be implemented for the export of graphite dual-use items to the usa. It will be officially implemented from the date of the announcement. It is reported that China Graphite is a domestic company that sells flake graphite concentrate and spherical graphite, mainly engaged in processing raw graphite into flake graphite concentrate and spherical graphite.
Editor/Jeffy