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Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:APLS) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 3 18:14

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:APLS) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 45% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Apellis Pharmaceuticals may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 10.6x and even P/S higher than 65x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:APLS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 3rd 2024

How Apellis Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Apellis Pharmaceuticals as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Apellis Pharmaceuticals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Apellis Pharmaceuticals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 162%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 179% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 122% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Apellis Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Apellis Pharmaceuticals' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Apellis Pharmaceuticals maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Apellis Pharmaceuticals that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Apellis Pharmaceuticals' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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