Futu news on December 3rd reports that Hong Kong stocks opened slightly higher today and showed a trend of probing the bottom and rebounding, with the Hang Seng Index up 1%, and the technology index slightly up. $Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ up 1%, $Hang Seng TECH Index (800700.HK)$ up 0.27%, $Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (800100.HK)$ an increase of 0.9%.
At the close, 1,046 stocks in Hong Kong rose, 969 stocks fell, and 1,070 stocks closed flat.
The specific industry performance is shown in the following figure:
In terms of sectors, network technology stocks surged, with Xiaomi Group-W rising 1.93%, bilibili-W rising 1.55%, jd.com falling 1.36%, tencent rising 1.15%, netease-S rising 0.72%, alibaba-W rising 0.54%, and Kuaishou-W rising 0.10%.
Petroleum stocks performed strongly, with kunlun energy rising 3.13%, petrochina rising 2.93%, cnooc rising 1.99%, shanghai pechem falling 1.69%, china oilfield rising 1.49%, and sinopec corp rising 1.44%.
Electric power stocks performed strongly, with huadian power rising 5.80%, cki holdings rising 3.18%, cgn power rising 3.09%, clp holdings rising 1.79%, china res power rising 1.79%, huaneng power rising 1.74%, power assets rising 1.67%, and china power rising 1.35%.
Bank stocks rose, with hang seng bank rising 3.39%, industrial and commercial bank of china rising 2.39%, cm bank rising 2.25%, china construction bank corporation rising 2.03%, agricultural bank of china rising 2.02%, bank of china rising 1.92%, boc hong kong rising 1.87%, and ubs group rising 1.31%.
Biotechnology stocks strengthened, with quantumph-p rising 13.61%, cloud top new materials-B rising 10.96%, wuxi bio rising 7.87%, wuxi apptec rising 6.32%, giant bio rising 1.86%, and kelun biotech-B rising 1.84%.
Coal industrial concept (coal industry) stocks were up, with kinetic dev rising 5.30%, china shenhua energy rising 2.03%, yankuang energy rising 1.90%, shougang res rising 1.51%, and china coal energy rising 1.31%.
Film and television entertainment stocks strengthened, with Transmit Ent up 29.41%, Tencent Music up 6.12%, Laiye Global Artist up 4.69%, and Netease Cloud Music up 1.59%.
In terms of individual stocks,$LENOVO GROUP (00992.HK)$Increased by over 4%, with AI driving performance growth, the company's three major business sectors experienced robust growth.
$HAICHANG HLDG (02255.HK)$ Soared 18.6%, with plans to introduce a potential strategic investor and establish a significant strategic partnership with them.
$MEDBOT-B (02252.HK)$Dropped over 14%, with a 20% discount on the placement fundraising nearly 0.27 billion HKD.
$CHINA EDU GROUP (00839.HK)$Rebounded over 4%, with annual net profit down more than 70% year-on-year, institutions indicate a low probability of further impairment.
$NEW ORIENTAL-S (09901.HK)$Up nearly 3%, the company has been included in the constituent stocks in hang seng index, which will take effect from next week.
$GWMOTOR (02333.HK)$Up over 5%, with production and sales data in November improving year-on-year, the annual export target has been achieved.
$HWORLD-S (01179.HK)$Up over 3%, institutions claim that the company has a high certainty of completing the fourth quarter revenue guidance.
$CTIHK (06055.HK)$Up nearly 8%, recently signed a new agreement for tobacco leaf exports, with the annual limit raised to 87.76 million HKD.
$CR BEVERAGE (02460.HK)$Increased nearly 7%, the company's channel expansion has potential, and there is room for improvement in gross margin and expense ratio.
TOP 10 trading volume today
Hong Kong Stock Connect Fund
Regarding the Hong Kong stock connect, today the net inflow for northbound trading is 0.295 billion HKD.
Institutional perspective:
UBS: Upgraded the target price of Xiaomi to 33.5 HKD, with core business profits and electric vehicle business gross margins exceeding expectations in the third quarter.
UBS Group released a report stating that $XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ the third-quarter performance reached a record high, with the profitability of core businesses (smart phone, internet of things and consumer products, as well as internet services) and the gross margin of the electric vehicle business exceeding both the bank's and market expectations. The bank believes that Xiaomi's solid execution of its high-end strategy will drive stable growth in its core profitability and unlock the upward potential of its smart electric vehicle business.
The institution reiterated its "buy" rating for Xiaomi, raising the target price from 20 HKD to 33.5 HKD. It expects the average annual compound growth rate of Xiaomi's smart phone sales from 2025 to 2027 to stabilize at 5.2%, compared to 16.6% for 2024. The transition to the high-end market will continue to drive the increase in average product price and gross margin, with the average price expected to exceed 1100 yuan and gross margin exceeding 13%. Additionally, the forecast for Xiaomi's vehicle shipments in 2025 has been raised from 0.23 million units to 0.26 million units, and it is expected that the gross margin of Xiaomi's electric vehicle business will remain in the high double digits in the long term, significantly higher than the previous 5% forecast in its baseline scenario.
Galaxy Securities: Hong Kong stocks have high long-term value allocation.
Galaxy Securities' research report points out that currently, the level of inflation in the USA remains high, and market expectations suggest that a series of policies implemented during Trump's administration will raise the risk of re-inflation in the USA. As a result, the Federal Reserve may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts, putting some pressure on the liquidity of the Hong Kong stock market. However, Hong Kong stocks are valued relatively low with certain resilience in profitability.
As the incremental fiscal policy intensifies, the domestic economy gradually recovers, and long-term allocation value in Hong Kong stocks remains high. In terms of allocation opportunities, the technology sector still possesses significant investment prospects, especially in segmented industries that are expected to benefit from dual improvements in both the denominator and numerator, specifically including leading Internet and consumer electronics sectors. Under the stimulus of policies to expand domestic demand and stabilize consumption, current valuation levels of Hong Kong consumption stocks, which are relatively low, are expected to rise. Amid overseas uncertainties, high-dividend strategies in Hong Kong stocks remain attractive, with a focus on stated-owned enterprises listed on HKEX.
China Merchants Securities: Maintains a "buy" rating on Geely Automobile, reinforcing the product cycle momentum with blockbuster success.
China Merchants issued a report stating, $GEELY AUTO (00175.HK)$ that the explosive trend of popular products strengthens the product cycle's upward momentum. The wholesale volume in November was 0.25 million vehicles, increasing by 25% year-on-year and 10.3% month-on-month, setting a new historical high. In the first 11 months, the cumulative wholesale volume reached 1.967 million vehicles, a 28% year-on-year increase, and it is expected to exceed the revised interim target of 2 million vehicles. Regarding exports, November saw 0.033 million vehicles, which is an 8.6% year-on-year increase and a 0.8% month-on-month increase; the cumulative total for the first 11 months was 0.379 million vehicles, reflecting a 50.1% year-on-year increase, with high growth anticipated next year.
China Merchants Securities indicated that recently, Chairman Li Shufu significantly increased his shareholding by approximately 0.3 billion HKD, demonstrating management's confidence in the long-term development and the undervaluation of the stock price. This increase in shareholding is similar to the previous round from 2016 to 2018 before the major product explosion, where the previous round experienced resonance during the maturity of the automobile manufacturing system and the initiation of the SUV cycle, while this round signifies a successful exploration in the pathway of electrification transformation after two to three years, serving as a prelude to a second take-off. The institution maintains a "buy" rating with a target price of 21.8 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 16.3 times for the fiscal year 2025.
Editor/rice