1. ubs group analysts recommend that investors allocate funds to technology, finance, industrial, and utility stocks; 2. Analysts indicate that technology remains the preferred sector, with expected gains next year likely to exceed large cap.
Financial Association reported on December 3 (Editor Bian Chun) that as 2024 comes to a close and 2025 approaches, ubs group analysts wrote in a report to clients that investors should closely monitor stocks in several key industries until next year.
In a report released on Monday, ubs group analysts advised investors to allocate funds to technology, finance, industrial, and utility stocks. They noted that under the current market conditions, as well as the expectation that the elected president Donald Trump will implement pro-business policies, these industries are likely to perform strongly.
Analysts stated that technology remains the preferred sector, with expected gains next year likely to exceed large cap, predicting a rise of 19.8% in 2025, while large cap is expected to rise by 9.4%.
In recent months, driven by the ai boom, technology stocks have propelled the s&p 500 index to new highs in a bull market rebound, with technology stock profits accounting for nearly 35% of the total profits of the s&p 500 index over the past year. Some strategists are concerned that a market bubble may be brewing, but ubs group analysts remain optimistic.
They are also bullish on financial stocks, believing that financial stocks will benefit the most from Trump's pro-business policies. There is widespread expectation that Trump's stance on deregulation and proposed corporate tax cuts will boost trading activity and profit growth, driving financial stocks higher.
Analysts wrote that entering 2025, industrial stocks will also perform well. They indicated that these stocks appear more attractive than non-essential stocks, although the latter led all sectors with a 13.3% increase in November. Analysts have downgraded the rating of non-essential stocks (excluding amazon) to neutral.
Meanwhile, analysts stated that utilities are the best defensive stocks amid strong demand for energy driven by ai and electric vehicles. In recent months, the utility sector has performed exceptionally well, with the MSCI ACWI utility index rising about 20% year-to-date, as ai datacenters have increased electricity consumption in the usa.
此外,分析师对医疗保健股持中性立场,对能源、原材料、必需品和Real Estate Investment Trust基金持减持立场。
As analysts made this recommendation, US stocks rebounded strongly after Trump's victory in the USA election, with an roi of 5.9% in November. In the context of investors shifting to a risk-taking mode, the cyclical sector performed best.
In November, cyclical stocks outperformed technology stocks and sse non-cyclical industry 100 index stocks, led by consumer discretionary stocks, financial stocks, industrial stocks, and energy stocks. Among all sectors, stocks most sensitive to the economy and those most susceptible to tail risk performed exceptionally well.
On Monday, major technology companies continued their upward trend, marking the beginning of the final month for US stocks in 2024. By the close, the Dow slightly declined, while the s&p 500 index and nasdaq index hit new highs. The s&p 500 index closed up 0.24%, at 6047.15 points.
Editor/ping