There wouldn't be many who think Foot Locker, Inc.'s (NYSE:FL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Specialty Retail industry in the United States is similar at about 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Foot Locker Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Foot Locker's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Foot Locker will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
Foot Locker's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.8%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 6.5% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.2% as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 4.3%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Foot Locker's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
When you consider that Foot Locker's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Foot Locker with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Foot Locker's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.