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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC) Even After 35% Share Price Boost

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 27, 2024 18:39

Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ:EMBC) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 6.8% isn't as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Embecta's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 36x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Embecta as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

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NasdaqGS:EMBC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 27th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Embecta will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Embecta would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 81% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Embecta is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Embecta's P/E?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Embecta's P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Embecta's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Embecta (at least 2 which are a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Embecta. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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