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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By ProFrac Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:ACDC) 33% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 22 18:22

ProFrac Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:ACDC) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.5% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think ProFrac Holding's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Energy Services industry is similar at about 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NasdaqGS:ACDC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 22nd 2024

How Has ProFrac Holding Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, ProFrac Holding's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think ProFrac Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

ProFrac Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 24%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 239% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.0% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 6.4% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why ProFrac Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What Does ProFrac Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?

ProFrac Holding's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at ProFrac Holding's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for ProFrac Holding with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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