Following Donald Trump's announcement of being re-elected as President of the United States, U.S. bank stocks once again gained market attention, with$KBW Nasdaq Bank Index (.BKX.US)$surging over 10% on November 6, currently at a high not seen since February 2022.

Wall Street analysts predict that the Trump administration will ease regulatory burdens, and bank stocks may benefit from lower capital requirements. In addition, the prospect of high tariffs is expected to lead to higher terminal rates, while rising bond yields and interest rates may also boost the performance of the U.S. banking industry, especially in commercial lending and wealth management departments. In this scenario, the performance of bank stocks such as Bank of America may accelerate growth.

The upward trend of bank stocks in the United States after the election is expected to continue.

Morgan Stanley analysts believe that due to reduced risks during earnings season, accelerated capital market activities, attractive valuations and positions, the bank sector was upgraded to shareholding by analysts at the beginning of October. In addition, the bank infers another reason for the outstanding performance of finance stocks is the strong upward revision of profit expectations, recent presidential election results are driving expectations of relaxed regulation, boosting the sector's performance.

According to J.P. Morgan analysts in a recent report, considering the possibility of tax cuts, the expected delay and further dilution of the final version of Basel III, and investment banking activities, especially expectations of merger and acquisition activity, it is reasonable for investment banking stocks to surge significantly after the U.S. election. J.P. Morgan analysts, led by Kian Abouhossein, wrote: 'We believe this upward momentum will continue in the short term, and the good stock market and credit trading environments so far in the fourth quarter also support this trend.' Overall, the company maintains a 'shareholding' stance on the investment banking industry.

Institutions are emerging with a list of bank stocks under 'shareholding'.

Citigroup rate strategists believe that a big win for the Republicans could provide more fiscal stimulus and drive long-term yields in the USA steeper. This will be beneficial for banks' fundamentals due to the repricing of fixed-rate assets. Horowitz believes,$KeyCorp (KEY.US)$、$Ally Financial (ALLY.US)$、$PNC Financial Services (PNC.US)$、$Huntington Bancshares (HBAN.US)$And.$State Street (STT.US)$Will become the biggest beneficiary.

UBS analyst Erika Najarian selected some banking stocks for Trump's second term in the White House:

$Capital One Financial (COF.US)$ outlook will improve with the approval of Discover's transaction;

Higher short-term interest rates make $Huntington Bancshares (HBAN.US)$And$Citizens Financial (CFG.US)$Benefited.

Morgan Stanley has a strong preference for financial stocks, and recently listed a stock list rated as "shareholding", here is the list of financial stocks divided by industry according to its analysts in the banking sector:

$Bank of America (BAC.US)$

$Cadence Bancorp (CADE.US)$

$Citigroup (C.US)$

$East West Bancorp (EWBC.US)$

$Huntington Bancshares (HBAN.US)$

$M&T Bank (MTB.US)$

$Prosperity Bancshares (PB.US)$

$Regions Financial (RF.US)$

$U.S. Bancorp (USB.US)$

$Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.US)$

索罗斯前军师看好银行股，Q3大举买入区域银行指数ETF

曾担任「大鳄」索罗斯量子基金组合经理的著名投资者Stanley Druckenmiller，被评价为“史上最伟大的赚钱机器”，拥有吉姆·罗杰斯的分析能力和乔治·索罗斯的交易能力。过去30年，Druckenmiller的平均回报率超过30%，且从未有过亏损的年份，120个季度中只有5个季度亏损，其中包括巅峰时期管理规模超过了20 billion美元的阶段。

据13F报告显示，Druckenmiller旗下Duquesne Family Office于Q3新进了$Spdr Series Trust S&P Regional Bkg Etf (KRE.US)$约2.05 million股，总价值0.116 billion美元，并一跃成为该基金的第七大持仓，可见其对银行股的态度。

若按照9月30日的收盘价56.6美元计算，截止至11月19日收盘，该ETF涨幅已达15.44%。

如何通过ETF押注银行股投资机会？

由于银行股的分析门槛相对较高，而投资ETF可以省略选股的麻烦，更容易获得行业平均水平的收益，因此可以通过投资ETF来押注银行业的上涨机会。其中，跟踪银行业的ETF包括：

$Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)$

$Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH.US)$

$Spdr Series Trust S&P Regional Bkg Etf (KRE.US)$

$Ishares U.S. Financial Etf (IYF.US)$

$Powershares Exch Traded Fd Tst Ii Kbw Bk Port (KBWB.US)$

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Editor/Jeffy