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黄金突然爆发!金价日内大涨近14美元 FXStreet高级分析师金价技术前景分析

Gold has suddenly surged! The gold price has increased by nearly 14 dollars within the day, according to FXStreet senior analyst's analysis of the technical outlook for gold prices.

FX168 ·  11:28

#GoldTechnical analysis#24K99 News On Tuesday (November 19), during the Asian market, spot gold suddenly surged significantly, with the gold price just breaking through 2625 usd/ounce, increasing nearly 14 usd within the day. FXStreet senior analyst Pablo Piovano wrote an analysis on the technical trends of gold prices.

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(Source: 24K99) 15-minute chart for spot gold.

Piovano wrote that after six consecutive days of decline, the gold price recovered to 2600 usd/ounce in the new week's trade and broke through this threshold, which is quite a positive start. At the beginning of this week, geopolitical tensions dominated the market.

As the rebound triggered by the trump trade lost momentum, the dollar showed a retracement, which also provided momentum for the rebound in gold prices.

Spot gold closed up $48.81 on Monday, an increase of 1.9%, reporting $2611.73 per ounce.

The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, fell by 0.5% to 106.20, having previously reached a more than one-year high of 107.07 last week.

Piovano pointed out that the resurgence of geopolitical factors, particularly those stemming from the Russia-Ukraine war, is the main driving force behind the recent surge in gold prices. Earlier reports indicated that the Biden administration "authorized" Ukraine to use American-made weapons to strike Russian territory.

According to reports from Reuters in the united kingdom, the government of President Joe Biden on Sunday allowed Ukraine to use American-made weapons to strike deep into Russian territory, marking a significant shift in Washington's policy concerning the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. Sources revealed that Ukraine plans to launch its first long-range attack in the coming days but hesitated to disclose details due to operational security concerns.

XM's chief analyst Raffi Boyadjian stated in a report that Biden's decision is a major development, and it comes as the usa and its allies are working to contain conflicts in the Middle East.

On Sunday night, Russia launched a large-scale attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, resulting in at least 10 deaths and some civilian buildings also being targeted.

Daniel Pavilonis, a senior market strategist at RJO Futures, stated: "Part of the reason for the surge in gold prices is President Biden's announcement to provide Ukraine with long-range missiles, allowing it to strike deep into Russian territory. I believe this has triggered some safe-haven demand for gold."

Short-term technical outlook for gold

Piovano noted that the daily chart of gold shows a bullish pattern around $2,550 per ounce.Simple Moving Average(SMA) rebounded, with the area approaching the November low of 2536 usd/ounce. However, the initial barrier above 2600 usd/ounce coincides with the Fibonacci retracement level of the annual rebound, which is expected to provide strong resistance.

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(Spot gold daily chart source: FXStreet)

Piovano states that in the short term, the ongoing upward adjustment seems to continue based on the 4-hour chart.Relative Strength Index(RSI) The price rebounds but faces resistance around 55, while the average directional index (ADX) around 32 does not support a strong trend.

On the upside, Piovano points out that the initial resistance for gold price is at the 55-period SMA (2630 USD/ounce), after which, more significant resistance is at the 200-period SMA and 100-period SMA (2679 USD/ounce and 2684 USD/ounce respectively). On the downside, the important support for gold price is at 2536 USD/ounce.

As of 11:16 Beijing time, spot gold is quoted at 2625.40 USD/ounce.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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