Riskified Ltd.'s (NYSE:RSKD) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
What Does Riskified's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Riskified has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Riskified.How Is Riskified's Revenue Growth Trending?
Riskified's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.6% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 47% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 5.4% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 26%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Riskified's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As expected, our analysis of Riskified's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Riskified that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.