share_log

Oppenheimer:这一动能指标表明 美股涨势将持续明年

Oppenheimer: This momentum indicator indicates that the U.S. stock market's upward trend will continue into next year.

Zhitong Finance ·  Nov 18 08:39

According to Oppenheimer's data, the monthly relative strength index (RSI) indicates that the overall U.S. stock market will not peak until 2025.

According to Oppenheimer's data, the monthly relative strength index (RSI) indicates that the overall U.S. stock market will not peak until 2025.

Technical analyst Ari Wald wrote in a report: "Momentum indicators also suggest that the highest risk in the market in the coming months is below average."

"Since 1936, the median duration between the S&P 500 index's 14-month RSI first reaching 70 and the cycle peak is 12 months, during which the median ROI is +19%," Wald said. "This signal was issued at the end of August."

"In addition, 15 out of 18 times (83%) were at least 6 months away from the cycle peak, and 12 out of 18 times (67%) increased at least 10% after the peak."

In the short term, Wald recommends taking the best technical buy/sell combinations in each industry:

Energy: Buy cheniere energy (LNG.US), sell shell (SHEL.US)

Materials: Buy crh plc (CRH.US), sell dow inc (DOW.US)

Industry: Buy Dover (DOV.US), Sell Expeditors International (EXPD.US)

Consumer Discretionary: Buy Amazon (AMZN.US), Sell MGM Resorts International (MGM.US)

Consumer Staples: Buy the Kroger (KR.US), Sell Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM.US)

Medical Care: Buy Stryker Corp (SYK.US), Sell IDEXX Laboratories Inc (IDXX.US)

Financials: Buy Blackstone (BX.US), Sell ING Groep (ING.US)

Real Estate: Buy Welltower Inc (WELL.US), Sell CoStar (CSGP.US)

Information Technology: Buy Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US), Sell Microchip Technology (MCHP.US)

Communications Services: Buy Meta (META.US), Sell the AES Corp (AES.US)

The translation is provided by third-party software.


The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
    Write a comment