Event: On November 1, 2024, the company announced the sales volume for October 2024. October sales were 0.171 million vehicles, up 22% year over year. New energy sales in October were 0.109 million units, up 82.7% year on year. Among them, BEV sales in October were 0.079 million units, +131.9% year over year, and PHEV sales in October were 0.03 million units, +17.1% year over year.
0.033 million vehicles were exported in October, +17.8% YoY.
Galaxy and ZEEKR sales increased dramatically, speeding up overseas layout: by brand, Geely sold 0.171 million vehicles in October, up 22% year on year; of these, Galaxy series sold 0.063 million units in October, up more than 83% year on year; China Star Premium series sold 0.041 million vehicles in October; Lynk & Co brand sold 0.031 million vehicles in October, up 26% year on year; Geely brand sold 0.025 million vehicles in October, up 92% year on year. The Geely New Emgrand model was released in Mexico, the Lynk & Co Z20 completed its world debut and European launch in Milan, Italy, officially entered the Norwegian and Egyptian markets in October, and completed the launch in Brazil and Australia.
Released a new generation of superelectric mixes: next-generation superelectric hybrid - Thor EM superhybrid, equipped with a new generation of ultra-efficient combustion systems for wind and fire; equipped with the world's first E-DHT 11-in-1 hybrid electric drive, which has the highest thermal efficiency of 46.5%, which is the highest in mass production in the industry; equipped with Xingrui AI cloud power, Tiandi Cloud integrated smart network, fully integrates real-time sensing information and travel big data, and applies the powerful computing power of Geely Star Smart Computing Center to deploy AI big model prediction and decision algorithms to achieve the three new smart energy systems; Average fuel consumption under management was reduced by 15%, and thermal management power consumption was reduced by more than 30%.
Investment advice: We expect the company to achieve net profit of 15.021/10.374/14.11 billion yuan in 2024-2026. The corresponding PE was 8.66/12.54/9.22 times, respectively, maintaining the “gain” rating.
Risk warning: Consumer demand falls short of expectations, sales of new models fall short of expectations, increased competition in the industry, etc.