Source: Jin10 Data
Author: Xiao Yanyan
House Republicans are expected to win a majority of seats in the next Congress, giving them unified control that allows Trump to have more say in budget and tax battles. However, given that the Republican majority is expected to be narrow and internal consensus may be difficult to achieve, this could hinder their efforts to advance Trump's agenda.
Republicans have retained a slim majority in the United States House of Representatives, allowing Trump and his party to control the elected government branches and limiting potential constraints on the incoming president's power.
CNN and NBC News reported on Wednesday that the Republican 'sweep' greatly reduced the Democrats' hope of weakening Trump's influence in next year's multi-trillion dollar tax deadline battle.
Trump hopes to extend the tax cuts approved during his first term and add new measures he promised during his campaign.
Earlier, the Republican Party to which Trump belongs had already won a majority in the Senate, strengthening the party's control over the so-called Washington 'Big Three' and reducing its ability to regulate immigration, Wall Street, and the nengyuanhangye.
President-elect Trump visited Washington on Wednesday, met with House Republicans, and supported Speaker Mike Johnson to continue leading the party.
"Is winning not good?" Trump said at a congressional gathering held at the Hyatt Hotels in Washington D.C. "Winning is always good."
Starting from January next year, the Republican Party will occupy at least 218 seats in the House of Representatives with 435 members. Lowering the budget deficit and government debt is unlikely to become a priority after Trump took office in the White House.
The Republican victory also eliminates the threat of the Democratic Party investigating Trump's actions in Congress. During his first term, the House of Representatives impeached him twice, but he was never convicted by the Senate.
Next year, David Valadao of California and Dan Newhouse of Washington will be the only two House Republicans left who voted to impeach Trump on January 6, 2021. (Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski, Maine Senator Susan Collins, and Louisiana Senator Bill Cassidy will be the only remaining Republicans who supported convicting Trump).
This result in the House of Representatives will also have a wide-ranging impact on foreign policy, further casting doubt on whether the United States will continue to aid Ukraine in resisting Russia. Many Republicans in the House of Representatives oppose providing additional military assistance to Ukraine.
However, the majority of House Republicans will be very slim, with internal divisions threatening unified action. The current narrow majority is plagued by ideological disputes, allowing a few conservative rebels to reach compromises with Democrats and disrupt legislation. Ultimately, this often forces party leaders to make greater concessions to Democrats to secure opposition votes.
Faced with intransigent conservative hardliners, Trump may have more leverage, especially in measures prioritized by his administration.
However, the conflict-ridden Republican-led House of Representatives is currently in turmoil. Last October, Johnson was elected Speaker of the House after a minority of rebels overturned his predecessor Kevin McCarthy. While Johnson relied on Democratic votes to avoid a government shutdown, angering some Republican members, his colleagues benefited from the campaign funds he raised for them.
Editor/Jeffy