When close to half the companies in the Communications industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Harmonic Inc. (NASDAQ:HLIT) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Harmonic's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent revenue growth for Harmonic has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Harmonic will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Harmonic?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Harmonic's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.0%. The latest three year period has also seen a 29% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 9.1%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Harmonic is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Harmonic's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Harmonic has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Harmonic, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.