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Paycor HCM, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYCR) Looks Just Right With A 30% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 8 21:00

Paycor HCM, Inc. (NASDAQ:PYCR) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.1% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Professional Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may consider Paycor HCM as a stock not worth researching with its 4.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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NasdaqGS:PYCR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2024

What Does Paycor HCM's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Paycor HCM has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Paycor HCM's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Paycor HCM's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 17% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 85% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.9% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Paycor HCM's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Paycor HCM's P/S?

Paycor HCM's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Paycor HCM's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Paycor HCM with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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