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We Think Kontoor Brands' (NYSE:KTB) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 8 19:00

Investors signalled that they were pleased with Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:KTB) most recent earnings report. Looking deeper at the numbers, we found several encouraging factors beyond the headline profit numbers.

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NYSE:KTB Earnings and Revenue History November 8th 2024

A Closer Look At Kontoor Brands' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Kontoor Brands had an accrual ratio of -0.24. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$474m, well over the US$250.6m it reported in profit. Kontoor Brands shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Kontoor Brands' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Kontoor Brands' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Kontoor Brands' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 33% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Kontoor Brands at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Kontoor Brands.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Kontoor Brands' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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