Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (NYSE:UTI) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 104% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Universal Technical Institute's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Services industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

How Has Universal Technical Institute Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Universal Technical Institute has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Universal Technical Institute?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Universal Technical Institute's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 125% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Universal Technical Institute's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Universal Technical Institute's P/S?

Universal Technical Institute appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

When you consider that Universal Technical Institute's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Universal Technical Institute (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.