Last week's earnings announcement from ATI Inc. (NYSE:ATI) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit figure. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, ATI increased the number of shares on issue by 12% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of ATI's EPS by clicking here.
A Look At The Impact Of ATI's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Three years ago, ATI lost money. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we see profit is down 30%. Like a sack of potatoes thrown from a delivery truck, EPS fell harder, down 28% in the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
In the long term, if ATI's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On ATI's Profit Performance
Over the last year ATI issued new shares and so, there's a noteworthy divergence between EPS and net income growth. Because of this, we think that it may be that ATI's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for ATI you should be aware of.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of ATI's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
