If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So when we looked at Hamilton Beach Brands Holding (NYSE:HBB), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Hamilton Beach Brands Holding, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.23 = US$46m ÷ (US$409m - US$213m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding has an ROCE of 23%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Consumer Durables industry average of 14%.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Hamilton Beach Brands Holding's past further, check out this free graph covering Hamilton Beach Brands Holding's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Hamilton Beach Brands Holding, we didn't gain much confidence. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 34%, but they have dropped over the last five years. However it looks like Hamilton Beach Brands Holding might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 52% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Keep in mind 52% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
The Key Takeaway
To conclude, we've found that Hamilton Beach Brands Holding is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 48% over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hamilton Beach Brands Holding that you might be interested in.
High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.