The company's 2024Q3 revenue increased month-on-month, profitability recovered month-on-month, and maintained a “buy” rating
The company released its 2024 three-quarter report. 2024Q1-Q3 achieved operating income of 23.487 billion yuan, +14.82%; net profit to mother of 1.974 billion yuan, +7.05% year over year; net profit after deducting non-return to mother of 1.929 billion yuan, +8.89% year over year; gross profit margin of 20.47%, +0.18 pcts year on year, net profit margin of 8.40% and 0.61 pcts year on year. Among them, 2024Q3 achieved revenue of 10.36 billion yuan, +16.14% year over month, +60.89% month on month; net profit of 1.19 billion yuan, +15.26% year on month, +314.66% month on month; net profit without return to mother of 1.173 billion yuan, +13.71% year over year, +365.37% month on month; gross profit margin of 23.62%, +0.78 pcts month on month, +8.14 pcts month on month. As a leader in the consumer electronics PCB industry, the company will benefit deeply from the recovery of the consumer electronics industry and the AI boom. We maintain the 2024-2026 profit forecast. We expect the 2024-2026 net profit to be 3.552/4.417/4.862 billion yuan, corresponding EPS is 1.53/1.91/2.10 yuan, and the current stock price is 23.9/19.2/17.5 times, maintaining a “buy” rating.
The comprehensive layout of various fields blossomed and consolidated the foundation for future growth
The cost rate for the 2024Q1-3 company period was 10.42%, +0.35pcts year-on-year. Among them, sales, management, finance, and R&D expense ratios were -0.06pcts, -0.7pcts, +0.78pcts, and +0.34pcts, respectively. In the field of communications electronics and consumer electronics: The company grasps the market opportunities brought by AI terminal products, increases R&D and innovation, and prepares relevant technical layouts in advance. In response to the production capacity demand for high-end HDI and SLP products brought by AI-related products, the company is accelerating the production expansion project for high-end HDI and SLP printed circuit boards in Huai'an's three parks. Automotive product development field: In the first half of 2024, the company's radar operation board and autonomous driving domain control board products continued to grow in volume. Related products have cooperated with many domestic tire1 manufacturers, and have also been certified by international tire1 customers. Mass production and shipment is expected to begin in the second half of the year. Server sector: Thanks to significant growth in AI server shipments, the company's related business products grew significantly in the first half of 2024. On the one hand, the company actively grasped the AI server market development opportunities. On the one hand, it promoted cooperation between Huai'an Park and major domestic and foreign server manufacturers. Currently, many new customers have entered the certification, testing and sample stage one after another. On the other hand, it is aimed at benchmarking the highest-grade server products to speed up the construction process of the Thai park. Among them, the company plans to invest 0.25 billion US dollars in the first phase of the Thai park, which is expected to be certified in the second half of 2025.
Risk warning: The recovery in industry sentiment falls short of expectations, product development falls short of expectations, and the competitive landscape of the industry intensifies.