According to cme 'Federal Reserve Watch' on November 1st: the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering 25 basis points by November is 93.1%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 6.9%. By December, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 5.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 94.8%.
非农公布前 美联储11月降息25BP的概率为93.1%
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 93.1% before the non-farm payroll announcement.
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