Incident: On the evening of October 28, Beijing time, Shengyi Technology released its 2024 three-quarter report. In Q1-Q3, 2014, it achieved operating income of 14.745 billion yuan, an increase of 19.42% over the previous year, and achieved a net profit of 1.372 billion yuan to mother, an increase of 52.65% over the previous year.
The company's revenue and profit both increased. Looking at a single quarter, the company achieved operating income of 5.115 billion yuan in Q24, an increase of 14.52% over the previous year, and realized net profit of 0.44 billion yuan to mother, an increase of 27.83% over the previous year. The company's revenue growth was mainly due to the subsidiary Shengyi Electronics achieving revenue of 1.206 billion yuan, an increase of 49.27% over the previous year. As the market demand for high-rise, high-precision, high-density and high-reliability multi-layer printed circuit boards increased, production, sales, and revenue all increased compared to the same period last year. The increase in gross profit led to a significant increase in net profit.
Product structure and sales structure upgrades have increased the company's profitability. The company's gross margin in Q1-Q3 reached 22.02%, up 2.49pct year on year, and net margin reached 9.84%, up 2.65pct year on year. The increase in profitability is mainly due to the year-on-year increase in the company's copper-clad plate production and sales volume, the reduction in unit manufacturing costs, and the optimization of the sales structure, resulting in a year-on-year increase in revenue and gross margin of copper-clad plate products, as well as the increase in other benefits due to the value-added tax input tax credit policy, which increased profits. At the same time, the gross margin of the subsidiary Shengyi Electronics Q1-Q3 reached 21.68%, up 5.46pct year-on-year. Mainly due to strong server demand, the share of revenue of high-rise and high-density high-margin multilayer circuit boards increased.
The company issued an equity incentive plan to further enhance employee motivation. The company issued an equity incentive draft on May 22, 2024, and an adjustment plan on July 4. In fact, with July 4, 2024 as the grant date, 58.058848 million restricted shares were awarded to 727 incentive recipients at a price of 10.04 yuan/share, accounting for 2.45% of the company's total share capital. The performance assessment goal is to increase non-net profit by at least 25%/44%/66% in 24/25/26 based on deduction of non-net profit in 2023. Incentive target sales restriction ratio: ① If the performance assessment target reaches or exceeds 100%, the actual cancellation rate for the portion expected to be lifted is 100%; ② if the performance assessment target is 85%-100%, then the actual cancellation rate for the portion expected to be lifted is 80%. We believe that the issuance of equity incentives is conducive to further stimulating enterprise vitality.
Investment advice: Considering that the boom in the copper clad plate industry is expected to continue, combined with the company's leading position in the industry and current product leadership, we expect the company's net profit to mother for 2024-2026 to be 1.834 billion yuan, 2.225 billion yuan, and 2.526 billion yuan respectively. The PE corresponding to the current stock price is 27X, 22X, and 20X, respectively. It has strong growth potential in the future, is optimistic about the company's subsequent development, and maintains a “recommended” rating.
Risk warning: Downstream customer development progress falls short of expectations; new product development falls short of expectations.