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Skechers U.S.A., Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 27 21:13

Shareholders might have noticed that Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (NYSE:SKX) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.2% to US$59.21 in the past week. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$2.3b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Skechers U.S.A surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$1.26 per share, modestly greater than expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Skechers U.S.A after the latest results.

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NYSE:SKX Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Skechers U.S.A's twelve analysts is for revenues of US$9.91b in 2025. This would reflect a meaningful 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 20% to US$4.94. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$9.87b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.03 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$82.05, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Skechers U.S.A analyst has a price target of US$100.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$72.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 11% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 13% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 6.0% per year. So although Skechers U.S.A is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Skechers U.S.A. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Skechers U.S.A going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also see our analysis of Skechers U.S.A's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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