If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Leslie's (NASDAQ:LESL), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Leslie's:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.092 = US$76m ÷ (US$1.1b - US$286m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Leslie's has an ROCE of 9.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Specialty Retail industry average of 12%.
In the above chart we have measured Leslie's' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Leslie's .
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Leslie's doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 9.2% from 38% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
What We Can Learn From Leslie's' ROCE
In summary, Leslie's is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 86% over the last three years, it appears investors are expecting the worst. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Leslie's has the makings of a multi-bagger.
If you'd like to know more about Leslie's, we've spotted 5 warning signs, and 2 of them are concerning.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
