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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From BlackSky Technology Inc.'s (NYSE:BKSY) 29% Share Price Climb

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 25 20:10

BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 46% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about BlackSky Technology's P/S ratio of 1.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Professional Services industry in the United States is also close to 1.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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NYSE:BKSY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 25th 2024

What Does BlackSky Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

BlackSky Technology certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on BlackSky Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like BlackSky Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 43% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 6.8% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that BlackSky Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

BlackSky Technology's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Looking at BlackSky Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for BlackSky Technology (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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