If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term QXO, Inc. (NASDAQ:QXO) shareholders. Unfortunately, they have held through a 63% decline in the share price in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 40% lower in that time. It's down 81% in about a quarter.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for QXO isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Because QXO made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
Over three years, QXO grew revenue at 12% per year. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. That contrasts with the weak share price, which has fallen 18% compounded, over three years. The market must have had really high expectations to be disappointed with this progress. So this is one stock that might be worth investigating further, or even adding to your watchlist.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
This free interactive report on QXO's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between QXO's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. QXO's TSR of was a loss of 53% for the 3 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
Investors in QXO had a tough year, with a total loss of 28%, against a market gain of about 40%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - QXO has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course QXO may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
