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中国东方教育(0667.HK):第一所技师学院牌照落地 拉长学制可期

China Oriental Education (0667.HK): The first technician college license has been launched to extend the academic system can be expected

huaxi Securities ·  Oct 21, 2024 15:41

Incident Overview

On October 21, 2024, the company announced that the Anhui Wantong Advanced Technical School wholly owned by the company has been officially upgraded from the Anhui Provincial People's Government to Anhui Wantong Technician College. Anhui Wantong Technician College currently has more than 8100 students and 463 full-time teachers, covering an area of about 0.174 million square meters, including a construction area of more than 0.15 million square meters and a training area of more than 0.028 million square meters. It is also equipped with more than 100 training rooms and 3,540 training stations. Currently, 18 majors, including NEV inspection and maintenance, intelligent connected vehicle technology applications, automobile inspection, automobile maintenance, industrial robot application and maintenance, and mechatronic technology, have been established, as well as 14 permanent senior technician majors and 3 preparatory technician majors in automobile inspection, automobile maintenance, and mechatronics technology.

Analytical judgment:

This is the company's first technician college. We analyzed that the technician college was upgraded this time: (1) It shows that the company's ability to run schools and teaching standards have been fully recognized by the government. It is also a strong proof of the company's determination to expand and strengthen the vocational education industrial park. It marks a solid step towards building a “vertical integration” vocational education system in response to national policy calls. (2) After being upgraded to the College of Technicians, the appeal to high school students will be further strengthened in the future, and it is expected that a five-year major will be introduced, thereby lengthening the academic system and increasing the number of students enrolled. (3) It provides strong support for the company to continuously improve its level of operation and diversify its product lineup, and has accumulated rich experience in cultivating highly skilled talents such as technicians and senior technicians. In the future, with the completion of the construction of more regional centers, it is expected that it will achieve a multi-level and high-level education matrix for skills training, secondary schools, technicians, senior technicians and technician colleges, which also paved the way for rapid large-scale upgrading of technician colleges. (4) The company's technician college has 3 preparatory technician majors in automobile inspection, automobile maintenance, and mechatronics technology. The company continues to deepen the integration of industry and education, concentrate resources on cultivating skilled talents in new high-quality productivity-related industries such as new energy vehicles and intelligent manufacturing, and co-build teacher courses with leading key enterprises, so that new technologies and tools of enterprises are simultaneously introduced to the front line of teaching, providing students with better internship and training opportunities, promoting the integration of industry and education to achieve effective results and enhance enrollment appeal.

Investment advice

We analyzed that (1) in the short term, we expect that as cost control performance is expected to continue to exceed expectations; (2) in the medium term, long-term student growth is expected to gradually recover after enrollment is normalized; by category, we expect IT to be under pressure, but the cooking, automobile and beauty industries will maintain rapid growth, Omiki and the beauty industry will continue to reduce losses, and the net interest rate for automobile services will increase; (3) the company's long-term advantage lies in employment competitiveness and the ability to quickly adjust courses in response to market changes. The qualifications of the company's first technician college have been approved. Nozomi Lengthen the academic system. Maintain the 24/25/26 revenue forecast of 4.15/4.41/4.84 billion; maintain the 24/25/26 net profit of 0.496/0.596/0.725 billion yuan, corresponding to the 24/25/26 EPS of 0.23/0.27/0.33, and the closing price of HK$2.85 on October 18, 2024 corresponds to a 24/25/26 PE of 11/9/8 times (HK$1 = RMB 0.91), maintaining a dividend rate of 8% “Buy” rating.

Risk warning

Potential risks of policy changes, higher-than-expected IT decline, less-than-expected cooking recovery, high cost risk, systemic risk.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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