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US stock market outlook: Chinese assets collectively rise before the market! YINN surged more than 15%, bilibili rose more than 7%; Goldman Sachs: debt conversion is the first step in China's fiscal big move, which will stimulate economic growth.

Futu News · 20:40

热点要闻

周五盘前，三大期指涨跌不一，纳指、标普500上扬

明星科技股盘前普涨，奈飞涨超6%，苹果、阿斯麦涨超1%

热门中概股盘前多数上涨，哔哩哔哩涨超7%，贝壳、理想汽车涨超6%

中国资产ETF盘前普涨，$3倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion (YINN.US)$涨超15%，$2倍做多沪深300ETF-Direxion (CHAU.US)$涨超11%

特朗普称接到库克“求助”电话，涉及苹果被欧盟处以巨额罚款

美国前总统、共和党总统候选人特朗普在最新采访中表示，他接到了$苹果 (AAPL.US)$公司CEO蒂姆·库克的电话，库克向他表达了对欧盟处罚苹果的担忧。距离美国大选仅有不到三周时间，特朗普和美国副总统、民主党总统候选人哈里斯近段时间都在频繁接受采访，试图在最后一段时间内争取更多选民。

奈飞盘前涨超6%，Q3业绩及Q4指引超预期

$奈飞 (NFLX.US)$盘前涨超6%。奈飞公布三季报显示，营收98.25亿美元，同比增长15%，超过市场预期的97.76亿美元；稀释后每股收益(EPS)为5.40美元，同比增长44.8%，超过市场预期的5.12美元。同时，奈飞四季度的营收指引明显强于预期，还略微上调了今年的年度指引。业绩公布后，摩根士丹利将奈飞目标价从820美元上调至830美元。

谷歌组织迎重大调整！Gemini并入DeepMind团队，搜索广告业务主管升为首席技术官

10月17日周四，$谷歌-A (GOOGL.US)$宣布将把Gemini应用团队转移至人工智能研究实验室DeepMind，隶属于谷歌AI负责人Demis Hassabis，而专注于家庭产品的助手团队将转移至平台与设备部门。谷歌还宣布，自2018年起负责公司搜索、广告、商业产品的主管Prabhakar Raghavan将升为首席技术官，并与谷歌CEO Sundar Pichai密切合作。

因碰撞事故，美国对特斯拉超240万辆汽车的FSD软件进行调查

美国国家公路交通安全管理局缺陷调查办公室对$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$完全自动驾驶(FSD)功能启动调查。公告显示，该办公室收到报告显示，启动FSD功能的特斯拉车辆在能见度降低的区域发生碰撞，事故有人员伤亡。公告显示，此次调查涉及约2410002辆汽车，涉及2016-2024年款Model X、Model S，2017-2024年款Model 3，2020-2024年款Model Y等。

理想汽车盘前涨超6%，成为中国首个达成百万交付的新势力品牌

$理想汽车 (LI.US)$盘前涨超6%。消息面上，理想汽车今天宣布，其累计交付量已经超过了100万辆，用时仅58个月，成为中国首个达成百万交付的新势力品牌。此前理想汽车公布，9月交付新车53,709辆，同比增长48.9%；2024年第三季度交付152,831辆，同比增长45.4%。

名创优品盘前涨6%，获瑞银看好

$名创优品 (MNSO.US)$盘前涨6%。瑞银发研报认为，名创优品通过频繁更新及引入新IP来推动其业务增长，例如今年第二季及第四季分别推出与Chiikawa及哈利波特相关IP商品均大受欢迎，相信可巩固客户忠诚度，并吸引更多新客户，予其美股目标价26.5美元，对应预测2025年市盈率18倍。

万国数据盘前涨超6%，券商指其国内基本盘稳固，海外行业拐点已至

$万国数据 (GDS.US)$盘前涨超6%。民生证券最新报告指，公司国内基本盘稳固，海外行业拐点已至，在人工智能、云计算、5G 等产业趋势下，数据中心有望持续高增长。此外，中国网络空间安全协会昨日发文表示，建议对英特尔在华销售产品启动网络安全审查，切实维护中国国家安全和中国消费者的合法权益。网络安全审查启动，推动大数据板块爆发。

极氪盘前涨超7%，7X车型上市25天交付量破万

吉利汽车旗下高端电动汽车品牌$极氪 (ZK.US)$盘前涨超7%。极氪近日宣布，极氪7X发布25天交付已超1万台。据悉，极氪旗下中型SUV——极氪7X于9月20日正式上市，新车共推出3款配置车型，售价区间为22.99万至26.99万元。此外，极氪今日宣布，累计汽车交付量已突破35万辆，耗时35个月，创下内地纯电动汽车品牌最快的纪录。

直觉外科盘前涨超6%，Q3业绩超预期

机器人辅助手术公司$直觉外科公司 (ISRG.US)$盘前涨逾6%。公司周四盘后公布业绩显示，Q3营收20.4亿美元，超市场预期的20亿美元，同比增长17%；调整后每股收益为1.84美元，超过了分析师预期的1.63美元。

Centrus Energy盘前涨超4%，美国授予该公司和Orano浓缩铀合同

盘前涨超4%，拜登政府已将合同授予$Centrus Energy (LEU.US)$和Orano SA等公司，以开发新型先进核反应堆所需的高浓缩铀。这些合同将动用多达27亿美元的政府资金，具体金额将取决于美国能源部未来发布的订单。General Matter和运营Urenco新墨西哥州铀浓缩工厂的Louisiana Energy Services是另外两家获得资金的公司。

OpenAI与微软聘请投行就股权转化问题展开谈判

OpenAI最近完成了一轮融资，估值为1570亿美元，其正在从一家非营利组织转型为一家营利性公司。当其变成营利性公司时，如何分配股权是它面临的最大挑战之一。作为OpenAI最大的投资者，微软可能会拥有这家公司的大份额股权。鉴于谈判结果对微软和OpenAI的重要意义，两家公司都聘请了投行为其提供咨询服务。微软与摩根士丹利进行合作，而OpenAI则选择了高盛。

半导体股赚钱效应满满！台积电绩后昨日股价新高

$台积电 (TSM.US)$昨日绩后大涨近10%刷新历史新高，总市值突破1万亿美元。隔夜期权交易量冲高至96万张，环比前一日激增2.5倍，看涨比例大幅升至65%。期权异动方面，明年2月21日到期、195美元行权的call成交量最高，达到近7.6万张，但未平仓量仅余1340张。同时，亦有大户卖出今年11月15日到期、行权价175美元的call单，涉资超1.74亿美元。

与此同时，本周五到期的call单纷纷暴赚，其中197.5美元行权的call涨幅近超过400%。

每日期权追踪 | 半导体股赚钱效应满满！台积电绩后股价新高，call单暴赚400%，英伟达看涨占比近七成

全球宏观

美股牛市背后仍“暗流涌动”？大摩：美元上涨是一大威胁

尽管美股近来“涨势如虹”，但市场上也从来不缺风险。摩根士丹利首席投资官Wilson称，美元重新上涨可能会阻碍美国股市如今的涨势。由于市场准备大幅降息，美元下跌，但近几周市场走势逆转，因强劲的经济数据令更激进的政策宽松变得不太可能。可能导致涨势放缓的因素之一是美元是否再次上涨。这已经开始发生了。

今夜美股不平静？3万亿美元巨额期权到期，高盛：这次不一样

当地时间10月18日周五，是美股2024年的第十个期权到期日，同时也是美国大选前的最后一次期权平仓机会。具体来看，3万亿美元（名义价值）的期权合约将当地时间周五下午4点到期，其中1.9万亿美元与标普500指数（SPX）相关的期权将在周五上午到期，剩下的1.1万亿美元的交易所交易基金（ETF）和单一股票上的期权，将在周五当天结束时到期。

不过，值得一提的是，这次期权到期所处的市场环境与以往不一样，隐含波动率目前已经相对较高，期权的伽马值较高（期权价格对标的资产价格的变动更加敏感），市场普遍存在担忧情绪，VIX相关的期权和期货的未平仓合约兴趣处于近两年来的最低水平。

大摩：化债是中国财政大招第一步，将刺激经济增长

摩根士丹利发表报告，认为化债是财政大招第一步。大规模的地方债务重组，是决策层转换财政“紧日子”思维的第一步。该行认为这有助于恢复私营部门信心、缓解通缩螺旋。报告指，财政部新闻发布会基本符合有所降温的市场预期。虽然没有明确提出政策的规模，但前瞻指引比较明确，尤其是围绕地方化债方面的表述——较大规模增加债务额度来支持地方化解隐性债务。

金价续刷新高！避险情绪升温，现货黄金升破2700美元

现货黄金价格首次突破每盎司2700美元，因对中东冲突升级的担忧促使投资者涌向避险资产。在地缘政治和经济不确定的时期，投资者通常会在黄金中寻求安全。避险需求盖过了通常会令黄金承压的宏观不利因素，此前美国周四公布的报告减少了对美联储宽松规模的押注。

美股盘前成交额TOP20

美股宏观事历提醒

（以下均为北京时间）

20:30 美国9月新屋开工总数年化(万户)

20:30 美国9月营建许可总数(万户)

21:30 2024年FOMC票委博斯蒂克发表讲话

次日凌晨

00:10 美联储理事沃勒发表讲话

00:30 2024年FOMC票委博斯蒂克就经济前景、金融知识普及和经济教育的重要性发表讲话

01:00 美国至10月18日当周石油钻井总数(口)

02:35 美国副总统哈里斯在竞选活动上发表讲话

编辑/ping

Hot news

Pre-market on Friday, the three major futures indices fluctuated, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 rising.

Growth tech stocks rose across the board in pre-market trading, with Netflix up over 6%, Apple and ASML Holding up over 1%.

Most China concept stocks showed gains in pre-market trading, with Bilibili up over 7%, KE Holdings and Li Auto Inc up over 6%.

China Asset ETF rose across the board in pre-market trading.$Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares ETF (YINN.US)$up over 15%, $Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares (CHAU.US)$Surged over 11%.

Trump said he received a 'plea' call from Tim Cook, involving Apple being fined heavily by the EU.

In a recent interview, former US President and Republican presidential candidate Trump stated that he received a call from company CEO Tim Cook. Cook expressed his concerns about the EU's punishment of Apple.$Apple (AAPL.US)$With less than three weeks to go before the US presidential election, Trump and US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Harris have been frequently interviewed in recent times, trying to win more voters in the final stretch.

Netflix surged over 6% before the market opened, exceeding expectations for Q3 performance and Q4 guidance.

$Netflix (NFLX.US)$Surged over 6% before the market opened. Netflix reported third quarter revenue of $9.825 billion, a 15% year-on-year growth, surpassing the market's expected $9.776 billion; diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $5.40, a 44.8% year-on-year increase, exceeding the market's expected $5.12. Meanwhile, Netflix's fourth quarter revenue guidance is significantly stronger than expected, with a slight increase in this year's annual guidance. Following the performance announcement, Morgan Stanley raised Netflix's target price from $820 to $830.

Google organization welcomes a major adjustment! Gemini is integrated into the DeepMind team, and the head of search advertising business is promoted to Chief Technology Officer.

10月17日周四，$Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$宣布将把Gemini应用团队转移至人工智能研究实验室DeepMind，隶属于谷歌AI负责人Demis Hassabis，而专注于家庭产品的助手团队将转移至平台与设备部门。谷歌还宣布，自2018年起负责公司搜索、广告、商业产品的主管Prabhakar Raghavan将升为首席技术官，并与谷歌CEO Sundar Pichai密切合作。

Due to a collision accident, the usa is investigating the FSD software of tesla's over 2.4 million vehicles.

美国国家公路交通安全管理局缺陷调查办公室对$Tesla (TSLA.US)$完全自动驾驶(FSD)功能启动调查。公告显示，该办公室收到报告显示，启动FSD功能的特斯拉车辆在能见度降低的区域发生碰撞，事故有人员伤亡。公告显示，此次调查涉及约2410002辆汽车，涉及2016-2024年款Model X、Model S，2017-2024年款Model 3，2020-2024年款Model Y等。

Li Auto Inc. rose more than 6% in pre-market trading, becoming the first new energy brand in China to achieve one million deliveries.

$Li Auto (LI.US)$Up more than 6% pre-market. On the news front, Li Auto Inc. announced today that its cumulative deliveries have exceeded 1 million vehicles, taking only 58 months to become the first new energy brand in China to reach one million deliveries. Previously, Li Auto Inc. disclosed that it delivered 53,709 new cars in September, a year-on-year increase of 48.9%; in the third quarter of 2024, it delivered 152,831 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 45.4%.

Miniso rose 6% in pre-market trading, favored by UBS Group.

$MINISO (MNSO.US)$Up 6% pre-market. UBS Group's research report believes that Miniso is driving its business growth through frequent updates and the introduction of new IPs. For example, the Chiikawa and Harry Potter-related IP products launched in the second and fourth quarters of this year have been very popular. It is believed that this will strengthen customer loyalty, attract more new customers, and give it a US stock target price of $26.5, corresponding to a forecasted 2025 pe of 18.

GDS Holdings rose more than 6% in pre-market trading. Brokerages point to its strong domestic fundamental base and the turning point in overseas industries.

$GDS Holdings (GDS.US)$Pre-market trading rose more than 6%. Minsheng Securities' latest report pointed out that the company's domestic basic position is stable, the overseas industry turning point has arrived, under the trends of artificial intelligence, cloud computing, 5G, etc., data centers are expected to continue high growth. In addition, the China Cyberspace Security Association issued a statement yesterday suggesting that a cybersecurity review should be launched on Intel's sales products in China to effectively safeguard China's national security and the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese consumers. The initiation of cybersecurity review has boosted the big data sector.

Zeekr rose more than 7% in pre-market trading, with deliveries exceeding ten thousand for the 7X model launched 25 days ago.

Geely Auto's high-end electric car brand$ZEEKR (ZK.US)$Pre-market trading rose more than 7%. Zeekr recently announced that the 7X has delivered over 0.01 million units in the first 25 days since its release. The mid-size SUV under Zeekr - 7X was officially launched on September 20, with a total of 3 configuration models priced in the range of 0.2299 million to 0.2699 million yuan. In addition, Zeekr announced today that the cumulative car delivery volume has exceeded 0.35 million units, achieved in 35 months, setting the record for the fastest delivery of pure electric car brand in the mainland.

Intuitive Surgical rose more than 6% in pre-market trading, with Q3 performance exceeding expectations.

Siasun Robot & Automation Company$Intuitive Surgical (ISRG.US)$盘前涨逾6%。公司周四盘后公布业绩显示，Q3营收2.04 billion美元，超市场预期的2 billion美元，同比增长17%；调整后每股收益为1.84美元，超过了分析师预期的1.63美元。

Centrus Energy盘前涨超4%，美国授予该公司和Orano浓缩铀合同

盘前涨超4%，拜登政府已将合同授予$Centrus Energy (LEU.US)$和Orano SA等公司，以开发新型先进核反应堆所需的高浓缩铀。这些合同将动用多达2.7 billion美元的政府资金，具体金额将取决于美国能源部未来发布的订单。General Matter和运营Urenco新墨西哥州铀浓缩工厂的Louisiana Energy Services是另外两家获得资金的公司。

OpenAI and Microsoft are hiring investment banks to negotiate equity conversion issues.

OpenAI最近完成了一轮融资，估值为157 billion美元，其正在从一家非营利组织转型为一家营利性公司。当其变成营利性公司时，如何分配股权是它面临的最大挑战之一。作为OpenAI最大的投资者，微软可能会拥有这家公司的大份额股权。鉴于谈判结果对微软和OpenAI的重要意义，两家公司都聘请了投行为其提供咨询服务。微软与摩根士丹利进行合作，而OpenAI则选择了高盛。

半导体股赚钱效应满满！台积电绩后昨日股价新高

$Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$Yesterday, the stock surged nearly 10% after earnings, hitting a new all-time high, with a market value surpassing 1 trillion US dollars. Overnight, the trading volume of options soared to 960,000 contracts, a 2.5-fold increase compared to the previous day, with the call ratio significantly rising to 65%. In terms of unusual options activity, the highest trading volume was in the call options expiring on February 21 next year, with a strike price of $195, reaching nearly 760,000 contracts, but the open interest remaining at only 1,340 contracts. At the same time, large investors also sold call options expiring on November 15 this year, with a strike price of $175, involving over $0.174 billion.

At the same time, the calls expiring this Friday have seen significant gains, with the $197.5 strike calls surging by almost over 400%.

Daily Options Recap | Semiconductor stocks are making a lot of money! Taiwan Semiconductor hits a new high after earnings, with call options making a whopping 400%, while nearly 70% are bullish on Nvidia.

Global macro

Is there still an 'undercurrent' behind the bull market in US stocks? Goldman Sachs: the rise in the US dollar is a major threat.

Despite the recent meteoric rise in US stocks, risks are ever present in the market. Morgan Stanley's Chief Investment Officer Wilson said the resurgence of the US dollar could hinder the current momentum of the US stock market. As the market was prepared for a significant rate cut, the US dollar fell, but in recent weeks there has been a reversal in market trends, as strong economic data makes further aggressive monetary easing less likely. One of the factors that may slow down the rise is whether the US dollar will rise again. This has already begun to happen.

Is the US stock market not calm tonight? 3 trillion US dollars in massive options expiring, Goldman Sachs: This time is different.

On Friday, October 18, local time, it is the tenth options expiration date for the US 2024, and also the last options liquidation opportunity before the US presidential election. Specifically, $3 trillion (nominal value) of options contracts will expire on Friday afternoon at 4 PM local time, with $1.9 trillion related to the S&P 500 Index (SPX) expiring Friday morning, and the remaining $1.1 trillion in ETF and single stock options will expire at the end of the day on Friday.

However, it is worth noting that the market environment for this options expiration is different from previous ones.Implied volatilityCurrently relatively high, options have a higher gamma value (option pricesMore sensitive to changes in the prices of underlying assets), there is a general sense of concern in the market, and the open interest in VIX-related options and futures is at the lowest level in nearly two years.

Morgan Stanley: Debt-to-Equity Swaps are China's first big financial move to stimulate economic growth.

Morgan Stanley released a report stating that debt-to-equity swaps are the first major financial move. A large-scale restructuring of local government debt is the first step in transitioning from a "tight fiscal policy" mindset among the decision-makers. The bank believes this will help restore confidence in the private sector and alleviate the deflationary spiral. The report indicates that the Ministry of Finance's press conference largely meets the market's expectations of some cooling down. While the scale of the policy was not explicitly stated, the forward guidance is quite clear, especially in relation to local debt reduction by significantly increasing the debt limit to support resolving implicit debts at the local level.

Gold price continues to hit new highs! Safe-haven sentiment rises, spot gold breaks above $2700.

Spot gold price surpassed $2700 per ounce for the first time, as concerns over escalating Middle East conflict drove investors towards it.Its price has soared to a historic high, closely related to market expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.During periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, investors typically seek safety in gold. The demand for safe-haven assets outweighed macroeconomic factors that usually put pressure on gold, as the report released by the United States on Thursday reduced bets on the scale of the Fed's easing.

Bilibili rose more than 3% pre-market trading and was upgraded to "buy" by UBS, which raised its EPS estimate per share.

Reminder for US Macro Events

(All in Peking Time)

20:30 USA September New Home Starts Annualized (Thousands)

20:30 USA September Building Permits Total (Thousands)

21:30 2024 FOMC Voting Member Bostic Speech

The next morning

00:10 Federal Reserve Board Member Waller Speech

00:30 2024 FOMC Voting Member Bostic Speech on Economic Outlook, Financial Literacy, and Importance of Economic Education

01:00 Oil Rig Count in the USA as of October 18th week.

02:35 Vice President Harris of the USA delivering a speech at a campaign event.

Editor/ping

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