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What Las Vegas Sands Corp.'s (NYSE:LVS) 28% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 17 18:37

Las Vegas Sands Corp. (NYSE:LVS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 16% is also fairly reasonable.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Las Vegas Sands is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.3x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have P/S ratios below 1.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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NYSE:LVS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024

How Las Vegas Sands Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Las Vegas Sands has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Las Vegas Sands' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Las Vegas Sands would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 68% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 198% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.5% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it concerning that Las Vegas Sands is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Las Vegas Sands' P/S?

The large bounce in Las Vegas Sands' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've concluded that Las Vegas Sands currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Las Vegas Sands has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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