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大行评级|大摩:中国人寿第三季净利润胜预期 预计全年股息可能有显著增长

Major rating| Goldman Sachs: china life insurance's third-quarter net income exceeds expectations, with a significant increase in annual dividends expected.

Gelonghui Finance ·  Oct 17 12:31  · Ratings

Gelonghui on October 17th | Morgan Stanley released a report stating that China Life Insurance forecasted a net income of approximately between 101.135 billion yuan and 108.767 billion yuan for the first three quarters, an increase of about 165% to 185% year-on-year, exceeding both the bank's and the market's expectations. This growth is based on the same new accounting rules, meaning that the net income for the third quarter is 63 billion to 71 billion yuan, while the net loss in the same period last year was 0.6 billion yuan. Quarterly profits are expected to reach a historical high, with growth mainly driven by the stock market rebound. The profit calculated for the third quarter alone has already reached 2.2 to 2.4 times the full-year profit of 2023. Morgan Stanley estimates that China Life Insurance's annual dividends may experience significant growth, but the payout ratio may not be maintained at the same high level.

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