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US stock market preview | Banks' performance is intensively released! Goldman Sachs, Bank of America pre-market rise by more than 2%; Trump's trade 'comeback', Trump media technology surges over 11%

Futu News · 20:35

热点要闻

周二盘前，美股三大股指期货普涨

明星科技股盘前涨跌不一，台积电涨超1%

特朗普交易“卷土重来”，Phunware涨超15%，特朗普科技集团涨超10%

银行股盘前普涨，美国银行、花旗集团、富国银行涨超1%

美国被曝考虑限制英伟达、AMD等向中东国家出口AI芯片

当地时间10月15日，外媒援引知情人士消息称，美国已讨论限制$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$、$美国超微公司 (AMD.US)$等美国公司对某些国家人工智能（AI）芯片的出口许可证设定上限。这些限制将重点放在波斯湾国家，这些国家对人工智能数据中心的需求越来越大，限制的举措将影响一些国家的人工智能能力。

盘前涨超20%，美国芯片制造商Wolfspeed拟获美商务部7.5亿美元拨款

美国半导体开发商和制造商$Wolfspeed (WOLF.US)$盘前涨超20%，该公司宣布，已经与美国商务部签署了一份不具约束力的初步条款备忘录，美国商务部拟根据《芯片和科学法案》直接提供高达7.5亿美元的资金。此外，由阿波罗、包普斯特集团、富达管理与研究公司和资本集团牵头的投资基金财团已同意向Wolfspeed公司提供额外的7.5亿美元新融资。

AI掀起核能浪潮！谷歌签署核电购买协议为数据中心充能

当地时间10月14日，$谷歌-A (GOOGL.US)$已经与核能初创公司Kairos Power签署了一项协议，后者将建造七个小型模块化核反应堆，为谷歌的数据中心供电。该协议承诺，在数据中心和人工智能的能源需求激增之际，谷歌将计划从Kairos处购买六到七个小型模块化反应堆（SMR）的电力，而Kairos将为谷歌提供约500兆瓦的无碳电力。

高盛美股盘前涨超3%，Q3营收127亿美元，高于市场预期

$高盛 (GS.US)$盘前涨超3%，2024年Q3营收127亿美元，市场预期118.7亿美元，上年同期118.17亿美元。高盛第三季度管理资产3.10万亿美元，市场预估2.99万亿美元。高盛第三季度净利息收入为26.2亿美元，市场预期为18.4亿美元；固定收益、外汇及大宗商品业务(FICC)收入为29.6亿美元，符合市场预期。

嘉信理财盘前涨超6%，三季度净营收48.5亿美元，预估47.8亿美元

$嘉信理财 (SCHW.US)$盘前涨超6%，三季度净营收48.5亿美元，预估47.8亿美元。三季度调整后每股收益77美分，预估75美分。第三季度银行存款2,465亿美元，预估2,448.8亿美元。第三季度净利息收入22.2亿美元，预估22亿美元。

盘前涨超2%，美国银行第三季度净利息收入为139.7亿美元，略高于市场预期

$美国银行 (BAC.US)$盘前涨超2%，公司第三季度净利息收入为139.7亿美元，市场预期为139亿美元。投资银行收入为14亿美元，市场预期为12.4亿美元。财富与投资管理部门收入为57.6亿美元，市场预测为56.3亿美元。

爱立信盘前涨超10%，Q3调整后息税前盈利同比大增88%

$爱立信 (ERIC.US)$美股盘前涨超10%。消息面上，爱立信第三季收入618亿瑞典克朗，优于市场预期，其中，北美地区销售额大增超50%达204亿瑞典克朗；不包括减值的调整后息税前盈利大幅增长88%至73亿瑞典克朗，超过分析师预期的56亿瑞典克朗，受惠于北美对5G设备需求反弹。

达美航空盘前续涨超1%，有望再刷阶段新高

$达美航空 (DAL.US)$盘前续涨超1%，有望再刷阶段新高价。消息上，公司日前表示，今年第四季度其运营收入有望创新高，运营利润率预计将达11%至13%，高于去年同期，预计今年全年达美将服务旅客近2亿人次。

英伟达刷新历史最高收盘位，多张本周五到期call单翻倍

$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$ 昨日涨2.43%，刷新了历史最高收盘位。昨夜期权成交343.57万张，看涨比例升至65.5%。

期权链上，昨日成交量最多的期权是本周五到期行权价为140美元的call单成交16.12万张，多张本周五到期的call单翻倍；今年12月20日到期行权价为110美元的call单仍有23.23万张未平仓，位居第一。另外查询异动期权大单发现，有大户卖出2000张远期put单，涉资近2000万美元。

全球宏观

标普500年内47次历史新高！对冲基金抢筹美股，创下4个月以来最快记录

根据高盛Prime Brokerage（主要经纪业务）数据显示，经过连续8周的抛售后，对冲基金净买入美股的速度创下4个月以来的最快记录，这主要得益于个股的推动，个股的净买入量创下自2021年12月以来的最高水平，多头买入和空头回补的比例为1.2比1。

多位美联储官员就降息前景发声：未来降息步伐需要更加谨慎

当地时间10月14日，美联储理沃勒在最新的讲话中表示，美联储未来降息需要“更加谨慎”。沃勒暗示，未来降息幅度将小于9月份的大幅降息。这番表态进一步增加了美联储11月降息25个基点的概率。2026年FOMC票委、明尼阿波利斯联储主席尼尔·卡什卡利也在最新的演讲中表示，鉴于2%的通胀目标即将实现，美联储可能在接下来的几个季度内进一步适度降息。

“特朗普2.0”不利于美国？民调：通胀、赤字和利率都将高于哈里斯

美国媒体的一项最新调查发现，经济学家预计，在美国前总统特朗普提出的经济议程下，通货膨胀率、国家赤字和利率都可能高于其竞争对手、副总统哈里斯。据悉，在10月4日至8日进行的调查中，68%的受访者表示，他们认为如若特朗普再度当选，那么在其第二个任期内，美国的通胀率将比哈里斯当选总统的情境下上升得更快。

PE巨头阿波罗：全球资管行业过去15年的好运结束了，未来要抓住这四个巨大的机遇

2024年的阿波罗投资者日上，PE巨头阿波罗CEO Marc Rowan发表了演讲，他表示，全球资管行业过去十五年的好运结束了，未来要抓住四个巨大的机遇，这些不仅仅对阿波罗有用，预计整个行业也将从中受益。这四大机遇涉及全球工业复兴、全球大公司巨大的资本需求、退休市场对固定收益具有大量需求、重新思考公募和私募市场。

美股盘前成交额TOP20

美股宏观事历提醒

（以下均为北京时间）

23:00 美国9月纽约联储1年通胀预期

23:30 2024年FOMC票委戴利在纽约大学斯特恩商学院主办的活动上发表讲话并参加对话会

次日凌晨

01:00 美联储理事库格勒发表讲话

编辑/ping

Hot news

Before the Tuesday market, the three major US stock index futures generally rose.

Pre-market trading for growth tech stocks showed mixed movements, with Taiwan Semiconductor rising over 1%.

Trump's trading 'comeback', Phunware up more than 15%, Trump Technology Group up more than 10%

Bank stocks rose across the board before the market opening, with Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo & Co all up more than 1%.

The USA is reportedly considering restrictions on exporting AI chips to Middle Eastern countries from Nvidia, AMD, and others.

On October 15th local time, foreign media cited insiders revealing that the USA has been discussing restrictions.$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$,$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$The United States sets a limit on the export licenses for AI chips to certain countries. These restrictions will focus on Gulf countries, where the demand for AI datacenters is growing, impacting the AI capabilities of some countries.

Pre-market trading up over 20%, US chip manufacturer Wolfspeed plans to receive $0.75 billion in funding from the US Department of Commerce.

American semiconductor developers and manufacturers.$Wolfspeed (WOLF.US)$Pre-market trading up over 20%, the company announced that it has signed a non-binding preliminary memorandum of understanding with the US Department of Commerce, which plans to provide up to $0.75 billion in funding under the Chip and Science Act. In addition, an investment fund consortium led by Apollo, Bain Capital, Fidelity Management and Research Company, and Capital Research Global Investors has agreed to provide an additional $0.75 billion in new financing to Wolfspeed.

AI is ushering in a wave of nuclear energy! Google has signed a nuclear power purchase agreement to power the datacenter.

On October 14th local time,$Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$An agreement has been signed with nuclear energy start-up company Kairos Power to build seven small modular nuclear reactors to power Google's datacenter. The agreement promises that amidst the surge in energy demand for datacenters and artificial intelligence, Google plans to purchase electricity from Kairos for six to seven small modular reactors (SMRs), while Kairos will provide Google with approximately 500 megawatts of carbon-free power.

Goldman Sachs rose over 3% in pre-market trading, with Q3 revenue of 12.7 billion USD, above market expectations.

$Goldman Sachs (GS.US)$Rising over 3% pre-market, Q3 2024 revenue reached 12.7 billion USD, exceeding market expectations of 11.87 billion USD, compared to 11.817 billion USD in the same period last year. Goldman Sachs' assets under management in Q3 reached 3.1 trillion USD, surpassing market estimates of 2.99 trillion USD. Net interest income for Goldman Sachs in the third quarter was 2.62 billion USD, higher than the market expectation of 1.84 billion USD; Fixed Income, Currency, and Commodities (FICC) revenue was 2.96 billion USD, in line with market expectations.

Charles Schwab rose over 6% in pre-market trading, with Q3 net revenue of 4.85 billion USD, exceeding the estimated 4.78 billion USD.

$Charles Schwab (SCHW.US)$Rising over 6% pre-market, Q3 net revenue reached 4.85 billion USD, surpassing the estimated 4.78 billion USD. Adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter were 77 cents, exceeding the estimated 75 cents. Deposits for the third quarter reached 246.5 billion USD, surpassing the estimated 244.88 billion USD. Net interest income for the third quarter was 2.22 billion USD, surpassing the estimated 2.2 billion USD.

Pre-market trading up more than 2%, Bank of America's third-quarter net interest income was $13.97 billion, slightly higher than market expectations.

$Bank of America (BAC.US)$Pre-market trading up more than 2%, the company's third-quarter net interest income was $13.97 billion, exceeding the market expectation of $13.9 billion. Investment banking revenue was $1.4 billion, above the market forecast of $1.24 billion. Revenue from wealth and investment management department was $5.76 billion, compared to the market prediction of $5.63 billion.

LM Ericsson rose more than 10% pre-market, Q3 adjusted EBITDA increased by 88% year-on-year.

$LM Ericsson Telephone (ERIC.US)$USA pre-market trading up more than 10%. On the news side, LM Ericsson's third-quarter revenue was 61.8 billion Swedish kronor, exceeding market expectations. Sales in the North American region surged by over 50% to 20.4 billion Swedish kronor; adjusted EBITDA excluding impairments grew significantly by 88% to 7.3 billion Swedish kronor, surpassing analyst expectations of 5.6 billion Swedish kronor, benefiting from the rebound in North America's demand for 5G equipment.

Delta Air Lines pre-market trading continues to rise by over 1%, poised to hit a new high in the stage.

$Delta Air Lines (DAL.US)$Pre-market trading continues to rise by over 1%, poised to hit a new high price in the stage. On the news side, the company recently stated that in the fourth quarter of this year, its operating income is expected to reach a new high, with an operating profit margin projected to be between 11% and 13%, higher than the same period last year. It is estimated that Delta will serve nearly 0.2 billion passengers this year.

Nvidia hits a new all-time high closing price, with multiple call options expiring this Friday doubling in value.

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ Yesterday rose by 2.43%, refreshing the historical highest closing level. Last night, the options chain traded 3.4357 million contracts, and the call ratio increased to 65.5%.

On the options chain, the option with the highest trading volume yesterday was the call option with a strike price of $140 expiring this Friday, trading 0.1612 million contracts, with multiple call options expiring this Friday doubling. The call option with a strike price of $110 expiring on December 20 has an open interest of 0.2323 million contracts, ranking first. Additionally, a scan of unusual large option trades found a major player selling 2000 forward put options, involving nearly $20 million.

Global macro

S&P 500 hits 47 new all-time highs in the past year! Hedge funds rush to buy US stocks, setting the fastest record in 4 months.

According to Goldman Sachs Prime Brokerage data, after 8 consecutive weeks of selling, hedge funds' net buying speed of US stocks reaches the fastest pace in 4 months. This is mainly due to the momentum in individual stocks, with the net buying volume of individual stocks hitting the highest level since December 2021, and the long positions outnumbering short positions at a ratio of 1.2 to 1.

Several Federal Reserve officials speak out on the prospect of interest rate cuts: Future rate cuts need to be more cautious.

On October 14th local time, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated in his latest speech that future rate cuts by the Fed will need to be "more cautious." Waller hinted that the magnitude of future rate cuts will be smaller than the significant cuts in September. This statement further increases the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in November. Neil Kashkari, FOMC voting member in 2026 and Minneapolis Fed President, also indicated in his latest speech that with the 2% inflation target about to be met, the Fed may further moderately lower interest rates over the next few quarters.

"Trump 2.0" unfavorable to the usa? Polls: Inflation, deficit, and interest rates are all expected to be higher than Harris.

A recent survey by American media found that economists expect under the economic agenda proposed by former US President Trump, the inflation rate, national deficit, and interest rates may all be higher than his competitor, Vice President Harris. It is reported that in the survey conducted from October 4th to 8th, 68% of respondents said that they believe if Trump is re-elected, then during his second term, the inflation rate in the US will rise faster compared to a scenario where Harris is elected president.

PE giant Apollo: The good run of the global asset management industry in the past 15 years is over, and in the future, we need to seize these four huge opportunities.

At Apollo Investor Day in 2024, Apollo's CEO Marc Rowan gave a speech, stating that the good run of the global asset management industry over the past fifteen years has ended, and in the future, we need to seize four huge opportunities. These will not only be beneficial to Apollo but are also expected to benefit the entire industry. The four major opportunities involve global industrial revival, huge capital needs of global large companies, a substantial demand for fixed income from the retirement market, and a rethinking of the public and private markets.

Bilibili rose more than 3% pre-market trading and was upgraded to "buy" by UBS, which raised its EPS estimate per share.

Reminder for US Macro Events

(All in Peking Time)

23:00 USA new york fed 1-year inflation expectations for september

At 23:30 in 2024, FOMC voter Daly spoke at an event hosted by New York University Stern Business School and participated in a dialogue.

The next morning

01:00 Federal Reserve Governor Kugler delivered a speech.

Editor/ping

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