Finance News Agency October 15th (Editor Huang Junzhi) A recent survey by American media found that economists expect under the economic agenda proposed by former U.S. President Trump, the inflation rate, national deficit, and interest rates may all be higher than his competitor, Vice President Harris.

It is reported that in the survey conducted from October 4th to 8th, 68% of respondents said they believe that if Trump is elected again, then in his second term, the inflation rate in the United States will rise faster than if Harris is elected president.

This ratio is 12 percentage points higher than the institution's survey in July.

In contrast, this survey shows that only 12% of respondents believe that if Harris takes office, the inflation rate will be higher, while the rest of the respondents 'believe there is no substantial difference between the two candidates.'

In addition, 65% of economists believe that compared to Harris's policy agenda, they believe Trump's policies will increase the country's deficit more. This proportion has also increased by 14 percentage points from the July survey.

Shortly before the release of the survey results, the bipartisan policy think tank 'Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget' stated that by 2035, the plans proposed by the two candidates could increase the national debt by trillions of dollars.

However, at the same time, the report also found that Trump's tax and spending plans could double the increase in national debt compared to Harris. The institution found that Harris's plan could increase the national debt by $3.5 trillion over the next decade, while Trump's plan is estimated to increase the national debt by $7.5 trillion.

In the latest media survey, economists were also asked about the potential impact of some tariffs proposed by Trump on domestic manufacturing employment. 59% of economists believe that the employment rate will decrease, while 16% of economists believe that the employment rate will rise in the coming years. The rest of the respondents stated that the employment situation will remain unchanged.

61% of respondents expect that interest rates will be higher during Trump's second term.

The survey also showed that 45% of economists expect that under Harris' leadership, economic output will grow at a faster pace, while under Trump's leadership, this percentage is 37%. 18% of economists believe there is "no substantial difference."

Currently, with only about 3 weeks left until the official election on November 5th, Trump and Harris are neck and neck in the polls.

In 248 surveys tracked by 'The Hill' / the Decision Desk HQ, Harris is only leading Trump by 2.9%.

Editor/ping