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Slammed 26% Endava Plc (NYSE:DAVA) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 13 21:12

Endava plc (NYSE:DAVA) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 57% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Endava's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the IT industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.4x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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NYSE:DAVA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 13th 2024

What Does Endava's Recent Performance Look Like?

Endava hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Endava will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Endava?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Endava's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.8%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 66% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Endava is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Endava's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've seen that Endava currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. The low P/S could be an indication that the revenue growth estimates are being questioned by the market. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Endava that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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