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Pinning Down Genco Shipping & Trading Limited's (NYSE:GNK) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 10 19:17

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Shipping industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (NYSE:GNK) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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NYSE:GNK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 10th 2024

What Does Genco Shipping & Trading's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Genco Shipping & Trading hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Genco Shipping & Trading will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Genco Shipping & Trading?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Genco Shipping & Trading's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.5%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 8.1% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 23% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 0.7% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Genco Shipping & Trading's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Genco Shipping & Trading's P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Genco Shipping & Trading's analyst forecasts revealed that its shrinking revenue outlook isn't drawing down its high P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenue decline likely to impact the positive sentiment that's propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it'll be a challenging time for shareholders.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Genco Shipping & Trading (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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